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The relative strength of the S&P 500 and gold will be a key indicator of economic resilience. Once this support level is broken, market participants will focus on fleeing, and economic pressure will follow.
What is the current situation? Most funds are heavily invested in stocks, especially with overexposure to the S&P index. In contrast, the allocation to precious metals is minimal. This imbalanced portfolio is most vulnerable when risk arises — when the tide of funds recedes, portfolios lacking safe-haven assets are the first to suffer. From a macro cycle perspective, such a market structure harbors hidden risks. Those who are prepared with gold and safe-haven assets will hold the initiative.