ETH Technical Outlook: Ethereum Consolidates Near Major Demand as Bearish Structure Persists
Ethereum remains under corrective bearish pressure following a strong rejection from the $4,450–$4,950 supply zone, where price topped near the 0.786–1.0 Fibonacci levels. This rejection marked a clear distribution phase and triggered a sharp downside move.
The sell-off intensified once ETH lost the $4,065–$3,790 region (0.618–0.5 Fib), pushing price decisively below all major EMAs, confirming short-to-medium-term bearish control.
EMA Structure (Bearish Alignment)
20 EMA – $3,013
50 EMA – $3,176
100 EMA – $3,386
200 EMA – $3,396
All EMAs are sloping downward and stacked above price, meaning every rebound attempt continues to face strong dynamic resistance.
ETH is currently consolidating above the $2,750–$2,620 major demand zone, which aligns closely with the Fib 0 level at $2,623. This area has historically acted as strong support, and recent price action suggests selling pressure is easing, increasing the probability of a short-term relief bounce.
For bulls, the first key level to reclaim is $3,174 (0.236 Fib). A daily close above this level would signal early stabilization. A stronger recovery would require ETH to break above $3,515 (0.382 Fib) and then reclaim $3,790 (0.5 Fib) — where previous breakdowns occurred.
A full trend reversal would only be confirmed if ETH regains $4,065 (0.618 Fib) and holds above it, a scenario that currently remains unlikely without broader market strength.
On the downside, failure to hold the $2,620 support zone would expose ETH to deeper losses toward $2,400, the next major macro demand level.
RSI is currently around 44, reflecting weak but stabilizing momentum, consistent with consolidation rather than aggressive selling.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
$3,174 (0.236 Fib)
$3,176 (50 EMA)
$3,386–$3,396 (100 / 200 EMA cluster)
$3,515 (0.382 Fib)
$3,790 (0.5 Fib)
$4,065 (0.618 Fib)
$4,457 (0.786 Fib)
Support
$2,750–$2,620 (major demand zone)
$2,400 (macro support)
RSI
44 — weak momentum, stabilizing
📌 Summary
ETH is consolidating above a key long-term demand zone after a sharp corrective decline. While easing selling pressure may support a short-term bounce, the broader structure remains bearish unless ETH reclaims the $3,515–$3,790 resistance region with strength. A breakdown below $2,620 would expose ETH to further downside toward $2,400.
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