Gate News 消息，4 月 4 日，Polymarket 预测市场数据显示，"Claude Mythos 模型于 4 月发布"概率暴跌至 28%，近 7 日内跌幅达 26%，押注资金约 4.2 万美元。"Claude Mythos 模型于 6 月发布"概率升至 53%，押注资金约 1.16 万美元。
该预测市场的合约规则为：如果 Anthropic 发布"Claude Mythos"或确认与泄露信息中提及的同一型号，并且该模型在指定日期（美国东部时间）向公众开放，则判定为"是"。符合条件的模型必须命名为"Claude Mythos"（如 Claude Mythos 1、Claude Mythos 5、Claude Mythos X 等），或确认与泄露信息中 Anthropic 提及的模型相同。标注为 Claude Haiku、Sonnet 和 Opus 4.7/5.0 或类似的产品，除非确认是泄露信息中提及的同一型号，否则不计入判定。此外，符合条件的模型必须上线并公开开放，包括通过开放测试或开放滚动等待报名，封闭测试或私人访问不符合条件。
此前，Anthropic 宣布禁止用户订阅"白嫖"，OpenClaw 使用 Claude 需按量计费或使用 API。
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