Bitcoin is currently around 90600, and the current order book has entered a clear consolidation phase. From the daily chart perspective, the consecutive bearish candles indicate downward pressure, but the long lower shadows are a key detail — suggesting strong support at lower levels. Switching to the 2-hour timeframe, the K-line shows a narrowing consolidation pattern, with volatility continuously compressing, which often signals a buildup before a major move. Regarding technical indicators, the MACD on both the daily and 2-hour charts shows clear trend characteristics. Notably, the short-term green histogram is shrinking, hinting at a brewing rebound possibility. The EMA remains in a downward trend overall, but the pressure level around 90750 formed by EMA120 provides substantial resistance to the price. From a trading perspective, initiating an attack above the 91000 level is a relatively prudent approach — this helps keep risk within manageable limits. Short-term trading references: • Bullish scenario: Position within the 90000 to 89500 range; if it breaks below 89000, exit with stop-loss; target above 91000, further aiming at 92000. • Bearish scenario: Position within the 91500 to 92000 range; if it falls below 92500, exit with stop-loss; target below 90000, further aiming at 89500. It should be noted that the market is highly volatile, and the above analysis is for reference only. Trading involves risk on your own responsibility.

Interesting phenomenon in front of us: BTC dropped 8% in 2025, breaking the old pattern of a three-year continuous bull market. Many people have therefore declared that Bitcoin's 4-year cycle is completely invalid. But upon closer inspection, I don't think so. The key is that the gains of this bull market have been realized early. In previous bull markets, the main upward wave usually started after the halving. This time is different — the halving occurred on April 20, 2024, but as early as March 11, Bitcoin had already recovered from the bear market decline and hit a new all-time high. It's like the market's gains were brought forward, leading to a lack of momentum after the halving, and ultimately ending with a decline in 2025. So why do I still believe the 4-year cycle will continue? Two core logics have not been broken: **First, each halving can trigger a bull market.** This pattern is still in effect. **Second, around 530 days after the halving, Bitcoin tends to top out.** Looking at the top times of the last three bull markets, they all clustered around approximately 535 days after the halving, which is astonishingly coincidental. What does this indicate? If the top timing can match, then the bottom timing can theoretically match as well. So the cycle is not dead. Based on this logical deduction, it will take about 269 days from now to the bottom of this bear market. At that time, Bitcoin's price was $90,000.

$TURBO swing trade setup on 12H ... support + heavy chop high leverage on $BTC AND $ETH , wait for leverage flush for swing long entries !! + 6H TF golden cross . NFA