How to set stop-loss reasonably? Avoid being wiped out or losing big; practical standard methods Previously, we discussed: Filtering mechanisms → Fake breakouts → Support and resistance → Trend judgment → Pullback entry Today’s sixth article covers the all-important safety net of all technical analysis: stop-loss. Many people don’t lose due to poor judgment, but because of: chaotic stop-loss placement, getting wiped out, or massive losses. This entire guide is practical and can be directly followed. 1. There are only two reasons why your stop-loss keeps getting triggered 1. Stop-loss placed too close: Normal fluctuations will wipe you out, but the trend continues. 2. Stop-loss placed too far: When correct, you make small profits; when wrong, you lose big, wiping out previous gains. Qualified stop-loss: Follow market fluctuations + hold the structural bottom line + control individual trade losses. 2. Core principles of stop-loss 1. Place stop-loss outside the structure, don’t keep it in your mind Setting stop-loss based on feelings will definitely lead to losses. 2. Once the stop-loss is set, do not move or hold the position Moving the stop-loss = disguised holding of the position. 3. Single trade loss ≤ 1% of total capital This aligns perfectly with the position sizing logic I previously discussed. 4. Use small stop-loss in trending markets, larger in counter-trend trades Never take counter-trend trades, no matter how good they look. 3. The 3 most practical stop-loss methods (use directly) 1) Structural stop-loss (most stable, most common) - Long positions: place stop-loss just below support - Short positions: place stop-loss just above resistance Logic: Breaking the structure indicates a wrong judgment; the market has changed and must move. 2) Candle-based stop-loss - Long positions: place stop-loss below the low of the entry candle’s body - Short positions: place stop-loss above the high of the entry candle’s body Suitable for: pullback entries, breakout confirmations. 3) Swing stop-loss - Uptrend: place stop-loss below the most recent valid low - Downtrend: place stop-loss above the most recent valid high Suitable for holding mid-trend trades and trend-following. 4. Four stop-loss methods to absolutely avoid 1. Arbitrarily setting a fixed number of points (10, 20, 50) 2. Setting stop-loss based on how much you want to lose 3. Moving stop-loss to the entry price after profits (frequent wipeouts) 4. Enlarging stop-loss after losses, pretending there’s no stop-loss All of these are signs of impending liquidation. 5. Complete cycle: stop-loss + position size + entry Based on all my previous articles, it forms a systematic approach: 1. Identify the major trend (follow) 2. Find key support/resistance 3. Wait for pullback or true breakout 4. Enter near key levels 5. Place stop-loss outside the structure 6. Keep individual position size at 1%~2% 7. Focus on the core, avoid greed for the tail If you can stick to this long-term, you’ve already beaten 90% of traders!

Afternoon Analysis The hourly chart is in a high-level sideways consolidation after a rally, with short-term upward momentum lacking and a continued need for a pullback. Currently, the market is experiencing a rapid correction with consecutive bearish candles, and the hourly MACD bullish momentum is continuously weakening. The short-term trend remains a decline, with a focus on shorting the rebounds. Trading Suggestions Short positions around 70000-70500 for Bitcoin, with a target of 68000-68500 Short positions around 2050-2080 for Ethereum, with a target of 1900-1950$BTC $ETH #3月CPI数据出炉

Ethereum Trading Strategy. 1. Current Price Situation Current Price: $2,029 (24h +0.55%) 7-Day Change: +2.54% 90-Day Change: -34.85% (Still in the recovery phase after a major decline) Recent 24h Range: $2,007 - $2,086, narrow fluctuations 2. Technical Signals Short-term bearish, mid-term bullish, conflicting signals: Dimension Signal 15-minute MA Arrangement Bearish arrangement (MA7MA30>MA120), mid-term positive Recent Candlestick Pattern Double Top, has broken the neckline, indicating downside risk technically RSI (15-minute) 41, somewhat weak, not oversold Volume Recent 24h volume increase, participation has risen The double top pattern is the most important warning signal right now—two attempts near $2,085 failed to break through, followed by a breakdown of the neckline, indicating further correction risk. 3. Market Sentiment and Public Opinion Institutions are quietly accumulating: Bitmine increased holdings by about 60,000 ETH in the past week, with total holdings over 4.53 million ETH (3.76% of circulating supply), about two-thirds staked A major whale just withdrew 63,000 ETH from exchanges (worth about $131 million), dispersed into multiple wallets—usually seen as a long-term bullish signal Market sentiment is neutral to slightly positive: Positive sentiment 48% vs Negative 30%, net positive gap +18% Fear & Greed Index at 18 (fearful), the market is still cautious Macroeconomic disturbances: Recent geopolitical events like US-Iran conflicts are occupying crypto community discussions, possibly leading to risk-averse sentiment in the short term. 4. Trading Recommendations Core judgment: Do not chase highs, wait for a pullback to confirm support before entering Scenario Trading Approach Short-term Trading (1-3 days) Cautious, with a double top pattern indicating strong bearish pressure, mainly observe Mid-term Positioning (1-4 weeks) Focus on the $1,980-$2,000 support zone; if held, consider light positions Break below support If it breaks below $1,980, watch the next support around $1,900, avoid bottom-fishing Break above resistance If it effectively breaks $2,085 with volume, turn bullish and consider increasing positions