First, the core conclusion: On December 23rd, BTC is likely to fluctuate in the range of $85,500 to $88,500 (probability 50%), with the direction determined by the higher trade volumes breakout at the support of $85,500 and the resistance of $88,500; liquidity is relatively tight at the end of the year, and a breakout requires volume verification. Below are the executable trading lists for three scenarios.
1. Key Price Levels and Premises (as of December 22, 10:30 AM, UTC+8)
- Core support: $85,569 (78.6% Fibonacci), if lost, look down to $80,000 → $74,000
- Key resistance: $88,500, if bro
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