There is a clear divergence in market views regarding the U.S. stock market trends in December, with both optimistic and cautious perspectives coexisting.
The optimistic view mainly believes that:
· Trend Continuation: Some analysts believe that driven by AI innovation, expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and the market completing position adjustments, U.S. stocks are likely to continue rising in December.
· Historical Pattern: According to historical data, December is a month of strong seasonality for U.S. stocks, with the average increase of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices exc

The recent rebound of Ethereum looks quite impressive, but in reality? It's a typical bull trap. On the 24-hour chart, the price touched 3052 and then stalled; the most brutal part was that last 15-minute candle — it plummeted directly from near 3000 to 2910, with trading volume exploding to a massive 250,000. This is hardly a normal pullback; it's clear that someone is dumping at high positions. Those who tried to catch a falling knife around 3000-3050 are probably regretting it deeply now, a textbook-level demonstration of top divergence.
At the current position of 2936, the bears ar

$BTC Evening analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum market on November 29
When the price rises, I feel conflicted and don't add to my position; when it falls, I panic and rush to cut losses, lamenting the missed opportunity and feeling trapped. The market always moves in the opposite direction: when you chase the rise, it falls; when you cut losses, it rebounds. After countless late nights watching the market, in the end, I only earned a screen full of red and green and a heart full of fatigue. In the early morning, the price surged to a high of 92323 before facing pressure and retreating, dipp

#ETH走势分析 Recently, this wave of market movement is, to put it simply, digesting the profitable positions brought by the previous surge.
The price is stuck in an awkward position: it has tried several times to break above 93080 but has failed, indicating that there is clearly a lack of buying power at that level; however, when it drops to around 90155, there is buying support, and both times it has dipped, it has been pulled back up. Both bulls and bears are repeatedly battling in this range, with neither side giving way.
The biggest feature of this market is that there are no new stories. Ther

#数字货币市场回升 is currently oscillating around 897. Many people think that the four-hour pullback indicates a buildup of strength? I don't think so. The golden cross pattern on the daily chart has indeed appeared, but this seems more like a technical correction after being oversold; the real issue is that the volume doesn't keep up.
Looking closely at the hourly level, the death cross signal has actually begun to emerge. This rebound has not even broken through the key resistance level; is the so-called bullish foundation really solid? It seems more like short-term sentiment at play. Looki

What is large in order and small in reverse? Here comes a typical case!
Since the rebound from 81K, both BTC and ETH have formed a standard ascending channel on the hourly chart. How should we play this channel?
On a small scale: This is the upward channel on the right side, where you can buy low and sell high around the upper and lower edges. Whenever the channel structure is broken, it's time to change your mindset.
From the 4-hour or higher time frame, this ascending channel can be seen as a flag structure of a medium-term downtrend. In medium-term trend trading, the strategy is to look

Do you still remember the judgment about ZEC from last week, #数字货币市场回升 ?
At that time, the market was still hesitant, so I took a bearish stance on this trend - although the movement came a bit slowly, the direction was indeed correct.
In the end? ZEC really went straight south, directly crashing down by 130 points. To be honest, such a level of decline is quite rare.
After trading for so long, I increasingly feel that what is more important than technical indicators is whether you can see the big direction clearly in chaos. If you make the right judgment in advance, the rest is the process of

The disadvantages of not masturbating
1. Easily susceptible to prostatitis and sexual dysfunction.
2. It will accumulate sexual desire, leading to sexual repression.
If this were the Republic of China or ancient times, one would never have the chance to masturbate in a lifetime, because there wasn't any at that time, and girls wouldn't expose their chests and wear shorts.
Things are different now; sexual innuendos are everywhere in reality and online. If you don't have a girlfriend and practice abstinence, it's easy to become mentally distorted.
The more you suppress it, the st

Tom Lee has been saying in interviews that ETH is good, reaching a new high in Q1 2026.
But his paid research report group FSI reduced their holdings of ETH on November 14, suggesting a proportion of:
Ethereum decreased from 30% to 10%
Solana decreased from 12% to 5%
Bonk liquidation, DOGE liquidation, XRP liquidation
AERO decreased from 5% to 2.5%
HYPE decreased from 10% to 2.5%
USDC increased from 0% to 25%
Bitcoin increased from 40% to 55%
It seems that the paid ones are just different?

The phone rang loudly, and all 3 short-term long orders of the falling knife 🔪 were stopped out, resulting in a loss of several k.
My head hurts, the ada position is nearing the cost average, ETH has retraced 80% of its floating profit, and the remaining altcoins are almost unbearable to look at.
Profits are rapidly decreasing, the 10% position of BTC that was previously placed has now entered the market completely, with an average price of 89k💰 and a floating loss of 6%. ETH has entered at 70%, with an average price of 2711 and a floating loss of 1%.
I am responsible for my own account and

#比特币波动性 $BTC $ETH $ZEC
This round of collective pullback in the crypto market appears to be a technical breakdown on the surface, but in reality, it is a systematic tightening of global capital chains. While everyone is focusing on on-chain data looking for "whales offloading their assets," the real answer lies across the Pacific — the dramatic changes in the Japanese bond market are draining the cheap capital pool that has supported the global asset bubble for the past thirty years.
The yen carry trade ( Carry Trade ) was once a tacit money printing machine on Wall Street: borrowing yen at ne

How many trillion can the director of the lottery center embezzle?
Regardless of the truth, the directors in previous terms have all been quite greedy.
This thing is just like a contract, creating wealth cases, with a large number of retail investors gambling on the chance of getting rich by throwing coins to place orders.
Just like some exchanges have dedicated contract analysis data positions.
They filter out which contracts retail investors are often losing money on, and then take the opposite position based on the direction.
However, playing contracts is always better than playing the lott

It's a sleepless night tonight! The life-and-death game in the early hours of Thursday!
The Federal Reserve minutes focus on macro policy signals ➕ NVIDIA's earnings report focuses on the #AI technology sector, testing the narrative of "#AI bubble"
The three major U.S. stock index futures are currently up slightly 📈 (Dow futures +0.25%, Nasdaq futures +0.53%)
The probability of a 25% rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December on Polymarket @Polymarket has increased by 8% to 54% compared to yesterday, finally reversing the probability of no rate cut on the eve of the Federal Reserve&

$BTC #Bitcoin briefly fell below the level it entered in 2025, erasing annual gains during a fluctuation weekend that surprised many traders.
Despite a series of positive news within the industry and the long-awaited reopening by the US government, market sentiment has still declined, and these factors are what many market participants hope will stabilize sentiment.
BTC fell to $93,100 - about 25% below the historical high in October. Although Bitcoin quickly rebounded to around $94,500, this adjustment indicates an increasing gap between the strong structural developments in the field and the

[November 17 Market Analysis: Weekly Crisis, the Prelude to a Bear Market]
Last week's weekly closing has come to an end. After 2 years and 8 months, Bitcoin's weekly line has finally broken below the MA50 moving average, and it was a large bearish candle that broke the level directly. It can be said that on the weekly level, the curtain of a small Bear Market has already begun. According to the movement of the moving averages, this could lead Bitcoin towards the weekly MA120 trend, meaning that Bitcoin starting with 80k is very likely to be seen this year.
$BTC Today's short-term

Wall Street community live: After the weekend market enters the sideways adjustment phase following Friday's fall, how to layout for the next wave of market?
1. The current news is mainly focused on selling and capital outflow, which has an amplifying effect in the crypto market. As a benchmark asset, BTC's bearish signals often drag down altcoins like ETH, leading to a chain reaction. The outflow of ETFs (especially the $1.4 billion scale of ETH) indicates a lack of institutional confidence, which may trigger panic selling among retail investors and further increase volatility. Option

Liangqiu: The strategy of going long then short on Bitcoin/Ethereum yesterday was perfectly validated.
Bitcoin/Ethereum laid out two strategies again yesterday, first long then short. First, at 8 PM, enter long at 3100-3130, and the market surged to 3255 and around 97300, with the long position providing over 100 points of space.
Then, around 3250 and 97500 again, the strategy of laying out short positions was implemented. After the market surged, it quickly fell all the way down, reaching a low of 94000 and 3090. The short positions once again captured over 2500 points and 160 points of space

[爆] BTC flash crash 100,000! The entire network gets liquidated billions, but I buy the dip overnight! The real big pump script is hidden in December!
Just now, Bitcoin suddenly broke through the 100,000 mark, and the entire circle is in an uproar. But do you know? Those who made an eight-figure profit in the last bull market are doing something that retail investors can't understand — going all in to buy the dip!
🔥 Behind the big drop are 3 shocking truths:
1️⃣10x leverage collectively got liquidated, exchanges liquidated 2.3 billion USD in 1 minute.
2️⃣Wall Street institutions staged a

#美国政府关闭 After 44 days, the longest shutdown in U.S. government history has finally come to an end. At the moment Trump signed the bill, many thought the dust had settled. But for the players in the crypto market, this was just the beginning of experiencing what is called a "domino effect."
The political tug-of-war that dragged from October 1 to November 13 appears to be a farce in Washington, but in reality, it has drained liquidity completely. The market has welcomed the harshest liquidation wave of this cycle - the scale of liquidations over a month is equivalent to that of the past six mont

#Strategy加仓比特币 The Fed has really torn its face this time - the doves are eager to cut interest rates to stabilize the economy, while the hawks are firmly guarding the inflation line without giving in. On the surface, it seems to be a monetary policy dispute, but in reality, it is an extension of the power games in Washington.
The more magical thing is Trump's operation: while urging interest rate cuts and liquidity with his mouth, he is wielding the tariff club to push up costs with his hands. This set of combination punches seems contradictory? Wrong, this is precisely forcing the Fed to