Wall Street community live: After the weekend market enters the sideways adjustment phase following Friday's fall, how to layout for the next wave of market?

1. The current news is mainly focused on selling and capital outflow, which has an amplifying effect in the crypto market. As a benchmark asset, BTC's bearish signals often drag down altcoins like ETH, leading to a chain reaction. The outflow of ETFs (especially the $1.4 billion scale of ETH) indicates a lack of institutional confidence, which may trigger panic selling among retail investors and further increase volatility. Option expirations serve as short-term catalysts that can exacerbate price swings, but without a positive turnaround ( such as favorable policy ), the downtrend may continue.

2. Recently, trading has been cautious and defensive, with a short-term bearish outlook (influenced by news and the downward movement of K-line), waiting for support level confirmation and rebound signals before taking a long position. Risk management is a priority: strict stop-loss, position not exceeding 5-10% of total funds. This is not investment advice, just a sharing of thoughts, as the market is highly volatile and should be combined with one's own risk tolerance.

3. Short-term bearish outlook (high probability, combined with current selling pressure): Entry: BTC confirms short below 100k ( if the rebound fails ); ETH short below 3,200. Targets: BTC aims for 92k/90k; ETH aims for 3k/2.8k. Stop-loss: BTC breaks above 100k; ETH breaks above 3,200. Reason: No turning point in news, K-line downtrend channel is complete.

The medium-term bullish outlook ( has a low probability, waiting for a reversal ): Entry: BTC stabilizes at the 92k support level ( RSI rebound >40); ETH shows a hammer line or bullish engulfing signal near 3k.
Target: BTC rebounds to 105k; ETH to 3,500. Accumulate positions in batches, combined with positive news like Saylor's buying. Stop loss: BTC breaks below 90k; ETH breaks below 2.8k. Reason: If the news turns favorable ( like the stock market rebounds ), the support level could become a bottom.