KRYPTON_bit

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About cryptocurrency — in simple words! Trader, investor 24/7 in CRYPTO. Streams and analytics. Charts, metrics, thoughts on the market.
#FOMC‬⁩ #CPI #USACryptoTrends $BTC $GT
We have released some of the most important macro data for all markets — PPI (producer inflation). And the numbers turned out worse than expected. Let’s analyze what this means for crypto, the stock market, and BTC.
📊 Actual PPI data (January) Producer Price Index (YoY):▪️ Actual: 2.9%▪️ Forecast: 2.6%▪️ Previous: 3.0%PPI (MoM):▪️ Actual: 0.5%▪️ Forecast: 0.3%Core PPI (MoM):▪️ Actual: 0.8%▪️ Forecast: 0.3% ⚠️Core PPI (YoY):▪️ Actual: 3.6%▪️ Forecast: 3.0%
👉 The main issue — core inflation is significantly higher than expectations.⚠️ Why this is critic
BTC-2.63%
GT-1.82%
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⚠️ THE MARKET HAS CLEARED OUT THE SHAKERS. 99% OF NEW INVESTORS ARE IN LOSS — WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR BTC
Currently, one of the most important phases of the cycle is forming, which most participants misunderstand.
Let's analyze the facts.
📉 1️⃣ Massive Margin Cleansing
Current BTC Open Interest: $44.8 billion
This is approximately –55% from the October 2025 peak.
What does this mean:
✅ The market is shedding overloaded leverage
✅ The number of forced liquidations is decreasing
✅ Price is once again starting to depend on real spot demand
Historically:
Major drops in Open Interest almost always
BTC-2.63%
ETH-5.25%
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🚨 BTC AGAINST GOLD AT A HISTORIC LOW. LTH BROKEN. MARKET IN LOSS MODE
Several metrics indicate a deep phase of pressure.
📉 1️⃣ BTC / Gold — historic weakness
The weekly RSI of the BTC to gold pair has dropped to an all-time low.
Lower than:
— FTX collapse
— 2020 crash
— 2018 bear market
This indicates record relative weakness of BTC compared to the safe-haven asset.
2️⃣ Long-term Holders' Level Broken
According to On-Chain College:
BTC has broken the realized price of long-term holders — ~$65.7k
and is now trying to regain this level.
Historically, holding below the LTH level often led to de
BTC-2.63%
ETH-5.25%
GT-1.82%
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America yesterday transitioned into a phase of gradual selling from these levels. Wait for the American market to open very soon. I closed my long position earlier; you might consider taking partial profits✅ #bitcoin #americatrends $BTC
BTC-2.63%
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🚨 INSTITUTIONAL SELLING REACHED A RECORD HIGH. BUT LTH IS GATHERING AGAIN
The BTC market is in a contradictory phase: aggressive selling by funds and simultaneous strengthening of long-term accumulation.
📉 1️⃣ The Most Aggressive Institutional Sell-Off
According to Charles Edwards, last week saw the largest net BTC sell-off by institutions in recorded history.
This increases short-term pressure and explains the weak price dynamics.
Institutional flow now is a risk factor.
🧱 2️⃣ Long-term Holders (LTH) Are Changing Behavior
Since November 23, the LTH supply has increased by +400,000 BTC.
Tha
BTC-2.63%
GT-1.82%
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The #BTC market is entering a zone of structural pressure where on-chain and institutional signals converge.
📉1️⃣ Major players increase inflow to exchanges According to #CryptoQuant : The exchange ratio of major players reached 0.64 — the highest since 2015. This means that the top 10 wallets account for 64% of BTC inflow to exchanges. Historically, this indicator signals potential supply pressure. 🏦 2️⃣ Hedge funds reduce BTC-ETF positions According to MacroMicro ( citing CF Benchmarks ): In Q4 2025, hedge funds reduced their BTC-ETF positions by 28% quarter-over-quarter. Reasons include:
BTC-2.63%
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🚨 BTC AT THE EDGE: LTH LEVEL, 60K AND THE "DEATH CROSS"
The market has approached a zone where several critical metrics converge.
📊 1️⃣ Real Price of Long-Term Holders — $65 680
The average cost basis for those holding BTC for 155+ days is currently around $65 680.
This is the so-called Realized Price LTH — a historically strong balance level.
When the price is above → long-term holders are in profit.
When below → pressure and redistribution begin.
We are trading right at this boundary.
📉 2️⃣ Volatility is decreasing, the trend is weakening
According to SeerQuant:
— Volatility is declining
BTC-2.63%
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