1. Current Core Levels (as of Feb 26, 2026)

Current price: ~$64,000
Short-term strong support: $60,000
Short-term resistance: $67,000 – $68,000
2. Key Bull/Bear Line
Close above $68,000 and hold: Short-term bearish momentum exhausted, rebound likely
Break below $60,000 and fail to recover: Opens further downside
3. Medium-Term Key Levels
Strong support zone: $55,000 – $60,000
Medium-term reversal signal: Hold above $72,000
4. 4 Critical Signals to Watch
ETF Flows
Consistent outflows → weak trend
2+ consecutive days of inflows → sentiment improves
Price Action
Daily close above $68,000 → bullish signal
Daily close below $60,000 → bearish signal
Market Sentiment
Fear & Greed Index < 10: oversold, bounce possible
Move above 30: market warming up
Macro Context
Rising U.S. Treasury yields → headwind for Bitcoin
Falling U.S. Treasury yields → positive for risk assets
5. Simple Trading Logic
Between $60,000 – $68,000: light position, wait-and-see
Break below $60,000: control risk, avoid blind buying
Hold above $68,000: consider trend-following long positions
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