💥 HBAR price nears breakout as inverse head and shoulders pattern forms
HBAR price is consolidating below key resistance as an inverse head and shoulders pattern develops, signaling a potential bullish breakout if the neckline resistance is cleared with volume.
HBAR ($HBAR ) price action is showing increasingly constructive behavior as the market builds a classic bullish reversal structure on the higher timeframes. After an extended corrective phase, price has stabilized and begun forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a formation often associated with trend reversals when confirmed
Next spot ETF positive? Grayscale plans to launch AAVE ETF and list on NYSE Arca, accelerating DeFi compliance process
Global leading cryptocurrency asset management firm Grayscale has taken another significant step toward product compliance. According to documents filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Friday, Grayscale has officially submitted an application to convert its existing closed-end AAVE trust into a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) listed on NYSE Arca.
This move not only marks Grayscale’s accelerated expansion into mainstream decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens following Bitcoin and Ethereum but also brings the concept of an AAVE ETF into the mainstream regulatory spotlight. Such applications often have a notable impact on market sentiment. According to the latest data from Gate, as of February 14, 2026, driven by this news, AAVE’s price surged +7.36% over the past 24 hours, currently trading at $120.04, with trading volume rising to $4.4 million. Its market capitalization has also increased to $1.82 billion, indicating a clear shift toward bullish market sentiment.
Application Details: 2.5% Sponsorship Fee and Coinbase Custody
Grayscale’s application is not without precedent but continues its strategic move to ETF-ify its single-token trust product line. As early as December 2025, Bitwise had submitted multiple ETF applications including AAVE strategies, but Grayscale, leveraging its strong brand and previous SEC settlement experience, is quickly catching up.
According to the filings, the proposed conversion of the Grayscale AAVE ETF follows the structure of its Bitcoin ETF:
Aave Protocol and AAVE Token Market Performance
As a leading lending protocol in DeFi, Aave’s total value locked (TVL) has long dominated the market, once exceeding 51% market share. AAVE, as the core governance and utility token of its ecosystem,’s value capture ability is closely tied to protocol activity.
In the same week that Grayscale submitted its application, the Aave community also underwent significant governance changes. Recently, Aave Labs proposed the “Aave Will Win” framework, which plans to allocate 100% of protocol revenue to the DAO treasury and establish Aave V4 as the core technical foundation. These positive developments resonate with the ETF application, creating a “multiple narrative” effect.
From the price trend perspective, according to Gate data as of February 14, 2026:
Although the current price remains well below the April 2021 all-time high of $661.69, AAVE has still gained +5.12% over the past 7 days, demonstrating resilience at the bottom.
Impact on the Crypto Market: From “Store of Value” to “Productive Asset” Expansion
Grayscale’s successful conversion of Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) and Ethereum Trust into ETFs not only opened compliance pathways but also paved the way for other similar products in the U.S. The application for AAVE may have even deeper symbolic significance:
Future Outlook and Price Predictions
While Grayscale’s application opens up imagination, SEC review remains uncertain. Bitwise’s ETF is expected to become effective around March 2026, and if Grayscale follows this timeline, approval may come in the second quarter of 2026. During this period, market sentiment will mainly be influenced by macroeconomic factors and the development of the Aave protocol itself.
Long-term valuation models suggest that with DeFi revival and increased institutional adoption, AAVE has potential for valuation recovery. According to Gate’s market analysis, the average price target for AAVE in 2026 is approximately $120.04. As the ecosystem matures, the price center could gradually rise to $230.85 by 2031, offering significant upside potential from current levels.
It’s important to note that short-term prices may still be volatile. After reaching a 24-hour high of $120.53 today, profit-taking pressure could emerge. Investors should monitor the support level at $109.82; if this level holds, the upward trend may continue.
Summary
Grayscale’s application to convert the AAVE trust into an ETF marks a milestone for DeFi’s integration into mainstream finance. It not only injects confidence into the AAVE token itself but also signals that the convergence of crypto assets and traditional finance is expanding from Bitcoin and Ethereum into broader blockchain applications. As a leading crypto trading platform, Gate will continue to monitor the development of this application and provide real-time market data and in-depth analysis.