The US-India Bilateral Agreement Promotes Indian Rupee Appreciation Against the Dollar

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A new wave of optimism is sweeping through the Asian currency markets following the announcement of a bilateral agreement between the United States and India. This development marks a significant shift in the trade dynamics between the two countries, with the Indian rupee responding positively by strengthening its exchange rate against the US dollar during the Asian morning trading session.

Tariff Agreement Acts as Catalyst for Tension Easing

In early February, President Donald Trump announced that the US government had reached a bilateral agreement with India, including substantial tariff adjustments. Under this agreement, tariffs imposed on India will be reduced to 18%, representing a significant shift from the months-long period of bilateral trade tensions.

According to analysis from Mitsubishi UFJ Bank, this bilateral agreement reflects a tangible easing of the tariff pressures that previously burdened US-India trade relations. Lloyd Chan, in his report, emphasized that this achievement represents an important strategic adjustment following a tense and uncertain phase of trade relations.

Investors Take Relief in Reduced Export Risks

The strengthening of the Indian rupee reflects positive sentiment among investors, particularly regarding the reduction of major risks that previously burdened Indian exports. With the resolution of bilateral trade issues that had been a primary concern, investors are showing increased confidence in India’s economic prospects moving forward.

Senior currency analysts noted that the rupee’s strength in the international market against the dollar is a clear indication of reduced risk premiums embedded in bilateral exchange rate valuations. Market sentiment suggests that the achievement of this bilateral agreement is seen as positive news for regional trade stability.

Rupee Reaches Highest Level Since Mid-January

Data from LSEG shows a tangible appreciation of the Indian rupee in trading on February 3. The dollar weakened by 1.0% against the rupee, trading at 90.32, after previously touching an intraday low of 90.25. This achievement marks a return to levels not seen since mid-January, indicating ongoing positive momentum in the strengthening of the bilateral exchange rate.

This movement confirms that the US-India bilateral agreement has successfully shifted market sentiment and provided new momentum for the rupee amid the complex global trade dynamics.

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