On February 4th, Eastern Time (Wednesday), the three major U.S. stock indices fluctuated, with the S&P 500 down 0.51% to 6882.72; the Dow Jones up 0.53% to 49501.30; and the Nasdaq down 1.51% to 22904.58.
【U.S. Bonds】
On February 4th, the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was 4.29%, and the yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury, most sensitive to Federal Reserve policy rates, was 3.57%.
【Popular U.S. Stocks】
Among popular U.S. stocks, Nvidia fell 3.41%, Apple rose 2.60%, Google C fell 2.16%, Google A fell 1.96%, Microsoft rose 0.73%, Amazon fell 2.36%, Meta fell 3.28%, TSMC fell 3.00%, Tesla fell 3.78%, Super Micro Semiconductor fell 17.31%, Intel fell 1.32%.
【Global Indices】
Index
Change
Level
France CAC40
1.01%
8262.16
UK FTSE 100
0.85%
10402.34
Germany DAX
-0.72%
24603.04
Russia RTS
-0.26%
1137.17
【China Indices】
On February 4th, overnight Hang Seng Tech Index futures fell 1.81%, Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 1.95%, FTSE China A50 Index rose 1.13%.
【Chinese Concept Stocks】
Among popular Chinese concept stocks, Tencent Holdings (HK) fell 3.96%, Alibaba fell 2.76%, Pinduoduo fell 1.15%, NetEase fell 5.42%, Baidu fell 4.77%, Ctrip fell 5.11%, Li Auto rose 1.88%, Xpeng Motors fell 2.22%, NIO fell 2.53%.
【Forex and Commodities】
Forex
Exchange Rate
Change (Basis Points)
USD/CNY (Offshore)
6.94
+3.5 bp
USD/EUR
0.85
-0.8 bp
USD/JPY
156.83
-460 bp
Futures
Change
Latest Price
COMEX Silver
3.29%
$87.53/oz
COMEX Gold
0.52%
$4957.10/oz
WTI Crude Oil
3.26%
$63.91/barrel
Brent Crude Oil
2.31%
$67.82/barrel
LME Copper
4.49%
$13408.60/ton
【Global News】
CIENA Expected to Be Included in the S&P 500 Index
CIENA is expected to be included in the S&P 500 Index. (Cailian Press)
Probability of the Federal Reserve Holding Rates Steady in March Is 90.1%
According to CME “FedWatch”: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 9.9%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 90.1%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by April is 23.2%, with a 75.1% chance of no change, and a 1.6% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut. The probability of a 25 basis point cut by June is 46.0%. (Cailian Press)
Federal Reserve Announces No Changes to Large Bank Capital Requirements Until 2027
The Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday that it will not adjust large bank capital levels during the 2026 stress test cycle, and is considering reforms to increase transparency. Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr stated that the large bank stress capital buffer requirements will be delayed until 2027 to allow the Fed sufficient time to evaluate potential flaws in its testing models under recession scenarios. Previously, in October last year, the Fed voted to open its testing models to the public for feedback and to publish annual stress scenarios used to evaluate banks. (Cailian Press)
Google Parent Alphabet Reports Q4 Operating Profit of $35.93 Billion, Estimated $36.95 Billion
Alphabet reported a Q4 operating profit of $35.93 billion, compared to an estimate of $36.95 billion.
Meta Launches “Avocado Model,” Its Most Powerful Pre-trained Large Language Model
An internal memo shows that Meta’s new “Avocado Model” is its most powerful pre-trained large language model. (Cailian Press)
Boeing to Provide Landing Gear Replacement Services for Over 75 Aircraft in Singapore Airlines’ Boeing 737 MAX and 787 Fleets
Boeing will provide landing gear replacement services for over 75 aircraft operated by Singapore Airlines Group. (Cailian Press)
The Fed’s overnight RRP usage on Wednesday was $2.414 billion. (Cailian Press)
Elon Musk’s SpaceX Allegedly Conducts IPO Roadshow for Non-U.S. Banks
SpaceX, founded by Elon Musk, is reportedly conducting an IPO roadshow targeting non-U.S. banks. (Cailian Press)
Microsoft Appoints Google’s Hayete Gallot as New Head of Security
Microsoft has appointed Hayete Gallot from Google as its new Chief Security Officer. (Cailian Press)
U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen Says Fed’s Involvement in Other Areas Would Harm Its Independence
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated that Fed involvement in other areas could undermine its independence. (Cailian Press)
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Global News | U.S. stock market's three major indices fluctuate, Google's parent company ALPHABET's Q4 operating profit falls short of expectations
【U.S. Stock Indices】
On February 4th, Eastern Time (Wednesday), the three major U.S. stock indices fluctuated, with the S&P 500 down 0.51% to 6882.72; the Dow Jones up 0.53% to 49501.30; and the Nasdaq down 1.51% to 22904.58.
【U.S. Bonds】
On February 4th, the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was 4.29%, and the yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury, most sensitive to Federal Reserve policy rates, was 3.57%.
【Popular U.S. Stocks】
Among popular U.S. stocks, Nvidia fell 3.41%, Apple rose 2.60%, Google C fell 2.16%, Google A fell 1.96%, Microsoft rose 0.73%, Amazon fell 2.36%, Meta fell 3.28%, TSMC fell 3.00%, Tesla fell 3.78%, Super Micro Semiconductor fell 17.31%, Intel fell 1.32%.
【Global Indices】
【China Indices】
On February 4th, overnight Hang Seng Tech Index futures fell 1.81%, Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 1.95%, FTSE China A50 Index rose 1.13%.
【Chinese Concept Stocks】
Among popular Chinese concept stocks, Tencent Holdings (HK) fell 3.96%, Alibaba fell 2.76%, Pinduoduo fell 1.15%, NetEase fell 5.42%, Baidu fell 4.77%, Ctrip fell 5.11%, Li Auto rose 1.88%, Xpeng Motors fell 2.22%, NIO fell 2.53%.
【Forex and Commodities】
【Global News】
CIENA Expected to Be Included in the S&P 500 Index
CIENA is expected to be included in the S&P 500 Index. (Cailian Press)
Probability of the Federal Reserve Holding Rates Steady in March Is 90.1%
According to CME “FedWatch”: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 9.9%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 90.1%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut by April is 23.2%, with a 75.1% chance of no change, and a 1.6% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut. The probability of a 25 basis point cut by June is 46.0%. (Cailian Press)
Federal Reserve Announces No Changes to Large Bank Capital Requirements Until 2027
The Federal Reserve announced on Wednesday that it will not adjust large bank capital levels during the 2026 stress test cycle, and is considering reforms to increase transparency. Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr stated that the large bank stress capital buffer requirements will be delayed until 2027 to allow the Fed sufficient time to evaluate potential flaws in its testing models under recession scenarios. Previously, in October last year, the Fed voted to open its testing models to the public for feedback and to publish annual stress scenarios used to evaluate banks. (Cailian Press)
Google Parent Alphabet Reports Q4 Operating Profit of $35.93 Billion, Estimated $36.95 Billion
Alphabet reported a Q4 operating profit of $35.93 billion, compared to an estimate of $36.95 billion.
Meta Launches “Avocado Model,” Its Most Powerful Pre-trained Large Language Model
An internal memo shows that Meta’s new “Avocado Model” is its most powerful pre-trained large language model. (Cailian Press)
Boeing to Provide Landing Gear Replacement Services for Over 75 Aircraft in Singapore Airlines’ Boeing 737 MAX and 787 Fleets
Boeing will provide landing gear replacement services for over 75 aircraft operated by Singapore Airlines Group. (Cailian Press)
Federal Reserve’s Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreement (RRP) Usage Reaches $2.414 Billion
The Fed’s overnight RRP usage on Wednesday was $2.414 billion. (Cailian Press)
Elon Musk’s SpaceX Allegedly Conducts IPO Roadshow for Non-U.S. Banks
SpaceX, founded by Elon Musk, is reportedly conducting an IPO roadshow targeting non-U.S. banks. (Cailian Press)
Microsoft Appoints Google’s Hayete Gallot as New Head of Security
Microsoft has appointed Hayete Gallot from Google as its new Chief Security Officer. (Cailian Press)
U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen Says Fed’s Involvement in Other Areas Would Harm Its Independence
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated that Fed involvement in other areas could undermine its independence. (Cailian Press)