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. Short-term outlook is bearish; expect a rebound first, then watch for a breakdown.
1. Key Points
• Price Status: Current price is in the recent low range, dominated by bears, market sentiment is cautious.
• Critical Support: 2100 (short-term strong support, if broken look at 2000-1900).
• Key Resistance: 2200-2250 (first resistance), strong resistance at 2325 (only if it stabilizes there, a reversal to strength is possible).
• Indicator Signals: Short-term moving averages are in a bearish alignment, volume is weak, a rebound requires increased volume to break through resistance.
2. Trading Strategies
• Short-term: If a rebound reaches 2200-2250 and faces resistance, consider a light short position with a stop loss above 2325, target 2100, and if broken, look at 2000.
• Spot Trading: Small long positions near 2100 with a stop loss at 2050, target 2200-2250; if it breaks 2100, consider waiting or reducing positions.
• Risk Reminder: Be alert to market correlation and liquidity tightening expectations; strictly control position size and stop losses.