As of 14:30 on January 14 (UTC+8), BTC is at $95,200, up **+4.7%** in 24 hours. After reaching a high of $96,000 intraday, it slightly pulled back. The short-term bullish trend continues, with strong resistance at $95,500-$96,000. RSI indicates overbought conditions, increasing the risk of a pullback. Below is the technical analysis + actionable strategy list, with key levels and alerts that can be directly marked on TV.



Core Key Levels (Priority from high to low)

- Support: $94,400 (intraday strong support/breakthrough neckline), $93,800 (EMA20), $92,000 (EMA50/previous high support).
- Resistance: $95,500 (intraday strong resistance), $96,000 (previous high/psychological level), $96,500 (Supertrend resistance).

TV Indicator Signals (Concise)

- RSI (Daily): 68.5, approaching overbought, beware of top divergence triggering a correction.
- MACD (Daily): Histogram positive, DIF and DEA above zero line, bullish signal, momentum strong but watch for decreasing volume weakening.
- Moving Averages: Price above EMA20/EMA50, EMA20 provides immediate support.
- Volume: 24h volume increased on the rise, but volume declined after intraday high, possibly limiting the continuation of a one-sided move.
- Bollinger Bands: Price near upper band, volatility rising, increased risk of touching the upper band and pulling back.

Short-term Trading Strategies (Actionable List)

1. Pullback Long (Priority)
- Entry: Stabilize at $94,400-$94,600 (4h bullish close/bottoming signal).
- Stop-loss: Below $94,000 (EMA20 breakdown).
- Target: First at $95,500, then look for $96,000 on breakout, take partial profits in stages.
- Position: ≤20%, light position during overbought periods for testing.
2. Breakout Chase Long (Cautious)
- Trigger: Daily close above $95,500 with increased volume (>5-day average volume).
- Entry: Confirm support on pullback to $95,000-$95,200.
- Stop-loss: Below $94,800.
- Target: $96,000-$96,500, then look for $97,000 on breakout.
- Position: ≤15%, quick entry and exit, avoid holding through reversals.
3. Defensive Short (Contrarian, cautious)
- Trigger: Break below $94,000 with RSI top divergence and increased volume.
- Entry: Resistance on rebound at $94,200-$94,400.
- Stop-loss: Above $94,400.
- Target: $93,000, then look for $92,000 on breakdown.
- Position: ≤10%, strict stop-loss, avoid holding losing positions.

Positioning and Risk Control (Must Follow)

- Total Position: ≤30% for long positions, ≤20% during consolidation, avoid heavy chasing during overbought.
- Stop-loss Principles: Do not hold longs below EMA20, do not hold shorts above key resistance.
- Take Profit: Divide into two parts, first take **50%** at the first target, remaining at the second target, dynamically move stop-loss to protect capital.

Scenario Responses

- Optimistic: Volume breaks above $96,000, targeting $96,500-$97,000, watch for volume continuation.
- Neutral: Range between $94,400-$95,500, oscillate, sell high and buy low, avoid chasing rallies or panic selling.
- Pessimistic: Break below $94,000 with no quick recovery, target $93,000-$92,000, exit longs promptly.
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Atilssvip
· 2h ago
Hold tight 💪
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