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📊 Technical Analysis
1. Moving Average System
· MA5, MA10, MA20, MA30 are highly consolidated in the 3330-3337 range, forming a balance zone between bulls and bears
· MA60(3261) and MA120(3192) are trending upward, indicating a still bullish medium to long-term trend
· The high compression of moving averages suggests an imminent directional choice
2. Key Indicators
· MACD: Dead cross at high level, but above the zero line, indicating a correction during an uptrend
· RSI: 58.52, neutral zone, no overbought or oversold pressure
· Volume: Decreased during sideways movement, waiting for volume breakout confirmation
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🎯 Key Bull-Bear Positions
Support Areas (for long positions)
1. 3330-3315 (core) → Dense multi-timeframe moving average zone, strong intraday support
2. 3280 (secondary) → Previous platform high turned support
3. 3260 (bottom line) → MA60, the medium-term bull-bear dividing line
Resistance Areas (for short positions)
1. 3380 (core) → 24-hour high, tested three times without breaking
2. 3400 (psychological level) → Round number, a breakout may trigger short covering
3. 3450 (extended target) → Previous daily-level resistance
---
⚡ Trading Strategy
Range Trading
· Short at the upper boundary: 3375-3380, stop loss at 3405, target 3335-3320
· Long at the lower boundary: 3320-3330, stop loss at 3295, target 3375-3380
Breakout Follow-up
· Upward breakout: Volume breakout above 3380, retest without breaking, go long, target 3450
· Downward breakout: Drop below 3330 accelerating, rebound to short, target 3280-3260
Trend Judgment
· Price stabilizes above 3350 → bullish bias, mainly buy on dips
· Price falls below 3330 → bearish bias, mainly short on rebounds
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⚠️ Important Reminder
1. Currently in the eve of a trend reversal: after high consolidation of moving averages, a direction will be chosen
2. Risk Control: Breakouts must be accompanied by volume, volumeless breakouts are false signals
3. Key Confirmation: Wait for the 4-hour candlestick to close above 3380 or below 3330 before following the trend
Core idea: Buy low and sell high within the 3330-3380 range, follow the trend after breakout, and strictly stop-loss. #每日行情分析