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January 14 Work Commute Podcast — Bitcoin breaks through $94,000... Is it just a "short squeeze" or a major upward trend?
This morning, the cryptocurrency market is heating up. Bitcoin broke through $94,000, and Ethereum also surpassed $3,200, with the overall market lighting up a ‘green light’. Is this rise merely a speculative frenzy, or is it fueled by solid fundamentals? Let’s delve into the underlying reasons.
Trigger for the surge: the howling of short positions, ‘short squeeze’
In the past 24 hours, approximately $136.7 million (about 200 billion Korean won) of leveraged positions have been liquidated. Notably, 88.67% of the liquidation amount was from ‘short positions (sell contracts)’ expecting a price decline.
Short squeeze occurrence: most market participants anticipated a decline and accumulated sell contracts, but when prices rose, they were forced to buy tokens tearfully to prevent losses, causing explosive price increases.
Investor psychology: this confirms that market pessimism was once widespread. Even meme tokens like ‘PepeCoin’ surged 9% to liquidate short positions, which is interpreted as a strong signal of risk asset preference within the market.
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Institutional movements: ‘Smart money’ flowing into the Solana ecosystem
Behind the short-term price surge, significant institutional moves have also been observed. Nasdaq-listed asset management firm UPEC signed a $36 million (about 5.3 billion KRW) Solana token purchase agreement.
Locked-in purchase: UPEC bought locked tokens through over-the-counter (OTC) trading that cannot be sold immediately.
Strategic significance: this is not short-term arbitrage but a long-term investment outlook for the coming years, and strong evidence of including Solana in the company’s core investment portfolio.
Technological advancements: Ethereum and privacy technology
Amid the market boom, technological development continues. The privacy project Zama in the Ethereum ecosystem is gaining attention.
Dutch auction: Zama introduced a Dutch auction method to prevent gas fee spikes and achieve fair price discovery.
Fully homomorphic encryption: Using technology that allows computations on encrypted data, infrastructure is being built to protect sensitive information like salary details or medical records and to make blockchain practical.
Market-driving statements and philosophies: Trump and Vitalik
Finally, an overview of macro-level statements and philosophical backgrounds influencing market sentiment.
Trump’s declaration of economic prosperity: U.S. President Trump announced economic prosperity while unveiling plans to lower oil prices. This could reduce inflation concerns, ease rate hike pressures, and create a favorable environment for risk assets like Bitcoin.
Vitalik Buterin’s ‘black magic’ anecdote: Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin’s fascination with decentralization was sparked by the game World of Warcraft. When the game company weakened his character’s skills (life drain) without prior notice, he felt a huge sense of loss over the fact that ‘centralized entities can arbitrarily damage my valuable assets,’ leading him to conceive decentralized systems.
Today’s market is the result of a complex interplay of short-term short squeeze frenzy, long-term institutional capital inflows, and anti-centralization philosophical resistance. Just as Vitalik drew inspiration for technological revolution from changes in game characters, I hope these messages today can serve as an opportunity for everyone to reflect on what they mean for their assets and future.