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#美国贸易赤字状况 Many people lose money trading contracts; actually, it's not that they see the wrong direction, but that they fail to grasp the rhythm. They insist on entering when they should be calm, and tinker around when they should wait, which makes them increasingly exhausted.
The deepest feeling I've had recently is: within the same day, at different times, the market's temperament completely changes.
In the morning session, I focus on one thing—analyzing the big picture. There's no rush to build positions; first, clarify the 4-hour and daily charts, identify key support and resistance levels, and set the tone for the entire day.
By noon, the market often falls into a stalemate—neither sharply rising nor falling, just repeatedly grinding. At this time, you can either precisely trade range-bound moves to earn some spread, or sit back and watch patiently. The worst thing is to impulsively chase after trades out of hot-headedness.
From afternoon to evening, this is when the market is most likely to change. You often see funds testing the waters—sharp rises and falls are both common. My rule is: first lock in profits to ensure it's not a false move designed to lure in longs or shorts, then consider following up.
By night, the market logic gradually becomes clearer. Those assets that should break out of their trends usually leave no room for hesitation. Going with the trend at this point is much easier.
After midnight, many major moves have already unfolded. Don't try to guess the top or bottom; just follow the market's confirmed direction, which actually increases your chances of success.
Be especially cautious before the market opens. A rally that lasts all night might suddenly top out, and a deep dip can quickly rebound. Instead of being greedy, it's better to be conservative.
For short-term trading, I focus on small timeframes, entering and exiting quickly, avoiding stubbornly following the crowd. In contract trading, it's not about who has the more accurate judgment, but about who can keep up with the rhythm and survive longer.
The key is not to expect to make money in every time period, but to do the right thing at the right time. Trading assets like $AAVE requires the same patience and sense of rhythm.