The warmth of New Year's Eve has not yet faded, and the market has already started bleeding.

US stocks plummeted, gold crashed sharply, and silver plunged 9% overnight. Even the investment master who often says "fear others, be greedy" fell silent and put down the microphone. The first wealth slaughter of 2026 has suddenly arrived.

But the most deadly signal is hidden in an overlooked data point — last week, the number of initial jobless claims in the US quietly rose to a two-year high. The employment market, which has been touted as "strong," has actually begun to crack silently.

The ensuing questions are sweeping through Wall Street: Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates?

All sides have long taken opposing stances: Goldman Sachs is bullish, expecting two stable cuts (March and June); Citibank is more pessimistic, believing at least three cuts are needed to stabilize the situation; Federal Reserve officials remain silent, merely repeating that inflation is still online. In short, everyone is guessing blindly.

It's like a roulette wheel in a casino — some bet on numbers, some on colors, but where the ball finally lands — no one knows until it stops.

What you can do is: don’t focus on where the ball is spinning, but understand the rules of the game.

When the halo of investment masters fades, when the derivatives market begins to tighten liquidity, and when unemployment data starts to "speak" honestly... the rules of this game have been completely changed. This is no longer a question of "when to cut rates," but a reset of "who can be trusted."

Your funds should not lie in a game where everyone is blindly guessing. They should flow to places with transparent rules, symmetrical information, and where you see your own cards.

Tonight, some are crying over losses, some are desperately liquidating. But truly clear-headed people are silently — switching to a safer chessboard.