Just a few days after the holiday, a set of impressive data has been released again. Two days ago, Hainan's offshore duty-free shopping amount directly reached 505 million yuan, doubling year-on-year with a growth of 121.5%! The number of visitors also increased by 60.9%, and this pace is quite aggressive.



The numbers themselves are interesting, but what’s more interesting is what they imply behind the data.

**Rising average spending per person and foot traffic—what does this mean?**

Per capita consumption power is upgrading. The 121.5% increase in shopping amount clearly surpasses the 60.9% growth in visitor numbers, indicating that not only are more people coming, but each person's wallet is also opening wider. Consumers are not just casually browsing; they are genuinely willing to spend money on high-end goods. This change in consumption willingness reflects a shift in the overall market mindset.

**Why is duty-free so attractive?**

The tourism market is recovering overall, and offshore duty-free has become a trump card for attracting visitors to Hainan. The "shopping + vacation" model is gradually gaining appeal among high-end consumers. People are no longer just traveling for leisure; shopping has become an important part of their trip.

**This indicates consumer confidence is recovering**

Duty-free spending is high-end consumption that is freely disposable, and its popularity directly reflects consumer confidence. The New Year’s Day observation window sends a clear signal: everyone’s confidence in spending is returning, giving a strong boost at the start of 2026.

**What does the investment community think?**

Such sales data has always been a barometer for the capital market. Duty-free operators like China Duty Free Group with a presence in Hainan are expected to see their performance expectations rise along with this wave of high-frequency data.

The entire industry chain is benefiting. In tourism and aviation, the booming duty-free market directly drives the recovery of hotels, catering, and airlines. International brands selling luxury goods and cosmetics rely heavily on duty-free stores as their main channels, providing new support for their global performance. Commercial real estate and operating companies, whether managing large duty-free malls or airport commercial projects, are seeing their channel value increase.

Expanding a shopping receipt to a billion-level growth scale reveals how much potential the entire consumer market is releasing. The consumer story of 2026 may well begin to unfold from here.
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RealYieldWizardvip
· 01-05 14:32
The upgrade in per capita spending power is indeed promising, but can these numbers be sustained... It still seems to depend on future data.
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HashBanditvip
· 01-04 14:34
nah this consumer confidence narrative hits different when you remember 2023... back in my mining days we had similar "recovery signals" before everything tanked lol. the throughput metrics look solid tho, 121.5% spike? that's some genuine TPS improvement for retail tbh. but let me run the ROI calculations... actual demand or just liquidity flooding in? always the real question fr
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NotFinancialAdvicevip
· 01-03 11:52
121.5% doubling growth, indicating that money is really flowing... but can this continue?
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SchrodingerPrivateKeyvip
· 01-03 11:43
When the wallet is fat, I dare to buy. That's the real signal... but it depends on how long it can last.
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token_therapistvip
· 01-03 11:33
Hainan data is indeed impressive this time, but I'm more concerned about how long this 121.5% growth can be sustained... The rebound in consumer confidence is a good thing, but I'm worried it might be a fleeting moment.
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