2026-01-03 10:28:19

Recently, Bitcoin market forecasts have caused a stir in the community. Various analysts are releasing price targets for 2026 with great enthusiasm—some are calling for a $240,000 price point by March, while others are marking the top around $210,000 on technical charts. This wave of enthusiasm is spreading, and many are encouraging friends around them to increase their positions while they still can. The entire market is filled with an atmosphere of excitement.

These numbers do sound crazy, but looking back at Bitcoin's history makes it clear—each halving has been followed by a major bull run. This is not coincidence but a cycle pattern that has been repeatedly validated. The 2024 halving has already occurred, and based on past trends, the period from 2025 to 2026 is indeed a breakout phase for the bull market. Coupled with the warming regulatory stance and ETF inflows as catalysts, reaching new highs is not out of the question.

However, the institutional voices are much more cautious. JPMorgan and several major research institutions generally give conservative predictions, with a comfort zone of $150,000 to $190,000. But don’t underestimate this range—even reaching $190,000 is quite substantial compared to current prices. From this perspective, institutions are not denying Bitcoin’s long-term potential; they are just being more cautious.

The reality is, we need to stay calm. Numbers like $240,000 or $210,000 are tempting, but the market is just that—a market, full of black swan events. When it will reach these levels or if it will reach them at all, nobody can say for sure.

In practical terms, it’s advisable to build positions gradually rather than all at once. Set profit-taking points—consider cashing out part of your holdings once your investment doubles. Don’t expect to capture all the gains; that’s simply unrealistic. Greed often leads to losses.

And one more psychological point—bull markets are never smooth sailing. There will be pullbacks, and sometimes even sharp corrections—that’s normal. True resilience lies in sticking to your plan despite these fluctuations, not being shaken by short-term volatility.

BTC-1.2%

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MEVictim

· 18h ago

$240,000? Wake up, bro. Hearing this kind of talk every round, and it actually ends up hurting you. Institutions' prediction of 150,000-190,000 is more reliable. Don't be brainwashed by that group in the community. It's correct to build positions gradually; going all-in is the fastest way to get wiped out. You should run when your investment doubles. Greed until the last penny leaves you with a painful lesson. The hardest part of a bull market isn't chasing highs, but enduring those sharp declines. $24K or $19K, both are possible. The key is whether your psychological preparation is in place. The halving cycle does exist, but black swans never follow the usual patterns. Setting a take-profit point can really save your life. Just look at what happened in 2018. With so much information, it's actually easier to get caught off guard. Understand?

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SchrodingerWallet

· 20h ago

240,000 sounds unbelievable, let's wait until it actually happens --- Staggered position building is truly the key; going all-in usually results in losses --- JPMorgan and those guys are still too conservative; history will prove everything --- Double and then run? I feel like there's still room... --- Market corrections in a bull run are normal; maintaining a steady mindset is the real skill --- Halving cycles are always accurate, but I trust the 190,000 bottom line --- Who can prevent black swan events? The best we can do is diversify risks as much as possible --- This round of market conditions feels truly different; institutions are quietly positioning themselves --- Don't be fooled by those in the community; staying clear-headed is the most important --- Adding more during a pullback is what a master does

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HappyMinerUncle

· 01-05 19:40

$240,000? Man, are you talking about science fiction... But speaking of which, the strategy of building positions in batches is okay; those who go all-in are all newbies. JPMorgan folks are conservative, but $190,000 is enough to have fun. The key is not to be fooled by those big V influencers; black swan events are hard to defend against. It's important to know yourself; double up and run, don't be greedy for the last wave.

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CompoundPersonality

· 01-05 15:54

240,000? My friend advised me not to think about it anymore, but I still believe in the conservative prediction of 190,000 from the institution. Honestly, this cycle is the same old story, halving cycles are played out like this, but the problem is that no one can hold through the fluctuations in the middle. I've heard the idea of building positions in batches before, but the key is to have a take-profit discipline, otherwise you'll just become a bagholder. A market correction during a bull run is normal, the key is who can stick it out until the end. Most people start to panic and sell off within three months. The figures of 240,000 and 210,000 are indeed attractive, but I care more about whether I can actually get the money, as black swan events can strike at any time. Yeah, double your position and run. Greed is truly the beginning of losing money. I've suffered enough losses to understand that.

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GhostWalletSleuth

· 01-03 10:58

240,000? I just laugh. Every time I hear these numbers, I think of the last time I got trapped. Splitting into batches to build positions is well said, but in real trading, few can really hold back. The 190,000 given by institutions is actually more reliable; don't be blinded by the community's excitement. Taking profits is really harder than cutting losses. Most people are greedy until the very last hair. This wave of correction is not an if, but a when. The question is whether you can endure it.

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ValidatorViking

· 01-03 10:57

nah, these 24k predictions hit different when you're actually running nodes through the cycles. seen this movie before—euphoria breaks consensus, then reality slashes the portfolio. 150-190k is the honest range, tbh.

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TradingNightmare

· 01-03 10:54

Batching into positions sounds reasonable, but when it comes to actually executing, everyone is a greedy ghost haha When will the 240,000 come? I’ve already stopped guessing. Anyway, I’ll hold until it doubles and then sell, let others profit from the rest A market correction in a bull run is normal operation. Those whose mentality collapses have already run away. The ones who survive until the end are the winners JPMorgan says 150,000 to 190,000, so I at least have to wait until 200,000 before acting. Why follow the institution’s pace? The halving cycle is indeed reliable, but who can predict black swan events? Instead of guessing numbers, it’s better to stick to your bottom line Going all-in is truly amazing. Looking at those who went all-in in the group, are they sleeping well now? I can’t stop laughing

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AltcoinTherapist

· 01-03 10:53

A number like 240,000 is really just a figure; listening to it is enough. There are historical cycles, but who dares say that this year is the same as previous years? This time, I strongly agree with staggered buying. Those who go all in are basically crying. Doubling your investment and then running away is really smart. The JPM folks are actually just being cautious, but isn't 190,000 stable and attractive? Why gamble your life chasing the elusive 240,000? Black swans are flying everywhere. Once regulatory winds change, it's all over. Don't be fooled by the community's excitement. A market correction is normal. To avoid getting cut, you need to have a bottom line. Having some discipline can really help you survive longer.

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WalletWhisperer

· 01-03 10:47

240,000? Wake up everyone, JP Morgan's prediction of 150,000-190,000 is the real deal. Greed really can trap people to death. Splitting into multiple buy-ins sounds simple, but 99% of people, including myself haha, end up going all-in. The bull market has never been a straight line up. Those pullbacks can really mess with people's mindset, and that's the real test. Institutions are conservative for a reason; no one can predict black swan events. Anyway, I just set my take-profit points and run. Friends who went all-in should be reflecting on their lives now, but unfortunately, I can't persuade them. If this wave of market can reach 190,000, just celebrate quietly. Those calling for 240,000 are just dreaming. I believe in the halving cycle logic, but as for greed, it really is a fatal flaw.

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NftBankruptcyClub

· 01-03 10:39

$240,000? Wake up, that's just the big players' market manipulation. Gradually building positions is the real strategy; those who go all-in often end up in the hospital. The ones who truly make money are always those who can endure the pullbacks. I trust JPMorgan's $190,000 estimate even more; calm and rational voices are often the most valuable. A bull market is a psychological game; don't let emotions control you.

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