2026-01-03 10:22:15

The Federal Reserve is once again experiencing internal disagreements. This time, it's not just the traditional hawk-dove debate, but three officials opposing each other simultaneously, with the policy divergence reaching a six-year high. What does this mean for those who have been navigating the crypto market? Simply put, the market trend in 2026 may already be taking shape.

Let's first look at the three voices within the Federal Reserve. The aggressive camp, led by Board Member Milan, advocates for a one-time 50 basis point rate cut. Their logic is: the labor market has already shown signs of recession, requiring stronger stimulus. If this camp prevails, the crypto market could see a liquidity release, with Bitcoin likely to quickly break through $90,000.

The moderate camp, represented by Powell, favors a cautious 'small steps' approach, waiting for data to speak. Under this policy rhythm, Bitcoin may oscillate between $87,000 and $90,000, showing a clear range-bound pattern.

The conservative camp, led by Goolsbee and Schmidt, remains concerned about inflation and firmly opposes rate cuts. If their view becomes dominant, high-risk assets could face selling pressure. Imagine a single-day plunge of 10% like in November 2025—that could happen.

From the market's actual performance, after the release of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes, Bitcoin usually experiences volume contraction and consolidation. Currently, it is repeatedly testing the support level at $87,000. But this may not be a bad thing—it's precisely when large funds are quietly building positions, and retail investors' panic often presents the best opportunity for strategic entry.

Looking ahead, if the Fed truly shifts to a dovish stance, such as implementing two rate cuts in 2026, dollar liquidity will significantly expand, and the crypto market will definitely benefit. But don’t forget to stay defensive; the rebound after positive news often comes quickly.

BTC1.91%

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SneakyFlashloan

· 7h ago

Is the divergence so severe? To put it simply, it's still gambling. Retail investors follow the volatility, while institutions quietly accumulate. I'm just waiting for the dovish side to win.

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MEVSupportGroup

· 9h ago

After repeated testing of 87,000 yuan, it shows that big players are secretly bottom fishing, while retail investors are still panicking and selling off haha --- The Fed's three factions are fighting so fiercely, indicating there’s not much certainty in the coming year. Let’s watch the data --- Powell’s centrist stance is the most annoying. Small steps, small steps. What retail investors fear most is this kind of irritating volatility --- If there’s really a 50 basis point cut all at once, then breaking 90,000 USD is no problem. I just worry about more empty threats --- I remember that wave in November 2025. Now the coins in hand have returned to that price, and it feels like the whole circle is standing still --- Expectations of rate cuts are played out with a rally, then a correction and a crash. This routine has been repeated for years, and it’s truly incredible --- After liquidity expansion, remember to run quickly, everyone. The moment the good news is realized is the last chance to get on board --- Conservatives just refuse to admit defeat. Inflation, inflation. It’s already 2026, and they’re still chanting that spell

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gas_guzzler

· 01-03 10:52

The Fed keeps arguing every day, do we have to follow the gamble? Or is this just a free option given by time? Can Powell's "small steps" lead to a bloom? I just want to know how long 87k can hold up. The pullback after the good news... I've heard that too many times. When it really happens, you still have to cut. Repeated tests of 87k, big players accumulating? Or just pulling the wool over the eyes, who do you believe? A 50 basis point rate cut to hit 90,000? Don't be silly, Bitcoin isn't the US stock market. The events of 2026 are already brewing... Wow, the time machine has been found. Defense, defense, it's easy to say, but when it really drops, your hands will be trembling.

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FOMOmonster

· 01-03 10:49

The Federal Reserve has started infighting again, and the crypto market is about to experience a roller coaster... But honestly, the repeated testing at the 87,000 level feels like an opportunity for big players to get in, while retail investors are still hesitating whether to drop or not. Little do they know, the big players have already quietly accumulated positions. --- If the dovish stance prevails, Bitcoin will definitely break 90,000, but the question is... how long can the likes of Gools and that group really hold on? No one can predict inflation. --- The 2026 market is already beginning to be a game of strategy, which is interesting. The only concern is that if the positive news is fully realized, there might be a sharp drop, and this kind of contrarian move is the easiest way to cut retail investors. --- A 50 basis point cut? Forget it. Powell and the moderates definitely won't agree, and it will have to be a step-by-step process. Don't hold too many illusions. --- Reduced volume and sideways oscillation are actually good signals; big funds are quietly accumulating... Waiting for the next liquidity release—that's the real thrill, provided you haven't been scared out.

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PonziWhisperer

· 01-03 10:35

The support level at 87,000 keeps struggling repeatedly, and the feeling that big players are secretly absorbing the chips is becoming more and more obvious. --- Instead of guessing which of the three factions of the Federal Reserve will win, it's better to see if you can hold onto your BTC. Haha. --- The day of liquidity release is really coming. 90,000 is not a dream, but the question is, can we survive until that day? --- The story of 2026 is now being told so clearly. Why do I feel like we need to drop again to really get people to enter the market? --- Powell's centrist style is a typical balancing act, and the most disliked thing for retail investors is this kind of uncertainty. --- That 10% crash directly shattered my mentality. If it happens again, I really can't take it. --- Defense? Bro, I've already gone all-in long ago. Can't defend against it anyway. Hahaha. --- Range-bound oscillation, in simple terms, is just players taking turns cutting the leeks. Don't expect to get rich overnight between 87,000 and 90,000.

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