BTC / ETH: The entire market is bearish. Should we do the opposite?

First, the conclusion:
Don't believe in "consensus expectations must be countered." The price doesn't recognize this.
When the market reaches such a point, someone always starts shouting:
"Everyone is bearish, a rebound is coming soon."
But looking back at history, you'll see this doesn't work.
At the end of 2024, after a consensus bearish outlook, there was indeed a rebound.
At the beginning of 2022, a consensus bearish outlook was just the start of a bear market.
The difference isn't in sentiment but in whether the structure is broken.
Sentiment is never the direction, just the way it moves.
Either volume surges and it moves directly, or it drags sideways, wearing people out before moving.
Just look at the current chart.
BTC
After such a long consolidation, it's not strength, it's a change of hands.
85,000 is the bottom line.
Can't push it up, can't hold it.
Breaking below means a new downtrend, no need to overthink.
ETH
3000 points are a clear break.
If it stabilizes: it can rebound, but don't expect a big rally.
If it can't hold: it's a typical trap, and things will get worse later.
The market is shaped by action, not by guesses based on sentiment.
Don't rush to be the contrarian just because "everyone is bearish."
Before the price nods, any sentiment is worthless.#加密行情预测