2025-12-29 03:23:09

As December is about to come to an end, an interesting technical signal has emerged: BTC's monthly chart closed with a bearish candle this month. Behind this seemingly ordinary candlestick pattern, there is actually something to note — in the past five or six years of historical data, Bitcoin's monthly chart has never shown four consecutive bearish candles.

What does this mean? According to probability logic, the monthly chart for January 2026 is highly likely to turn green and close with a positive candle, indicating a potential upward trend at the start of the new year.

However, there is an intriguing aspect at the current position: a direct decline lacks sufficient liquidity support. If it can rebound by about 10% first, attracting long investors and making everyone believe that the long-standing four-year cycle curse has become invalid, then a final sharp drop could be staged, accumulating enough chips for the opposing side.

Overall, the January market remains worth looking forward to. The long-dormant good days in the crypto circle may really be returning.

BTC0.15%

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alpha_leaker

· 6h ago

Four consecutive bearish candles curse? Ha, I've heard this logic too many times. This rebound of 10% followed by a sharp drop is basically a classic accumulation pattern. Whether it can turn green depends on what the big players are thinking; don't rely too much on historical data. Nobody can say for sure when good days will come.

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ChainProspector

· 6h ago

Have four consecutive bearish candles never appeared before? This data needs to be verified again; it seems a bit suspicious.

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MetaverseLandlord

· 6h ago

Can four consecutive bearish candles turn green? That's way too optimistic. You can't really rely on historical patterns.

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AlphaBrain

· 7h ago

Four consecutive bearish candles curse? Alright, this time it’s different haha --- Wait, should we first rebound to吸血 and then kill another wave? Why does this script feel so familiar --- Four consecutive monthly bearish candles, I’ve really never seen that, but don’t treat probability as insurance --- Enough with the虚的 stuff, just tell me if it can go up or not --- Good days warming up? I only believe when I see that red line --- This logic of rising first and then dropping, every time someone believes it, every time... --- Wait, are you saying to吸多头 first and then kill? Then I’d better take a break --- The probability of the monthly line turning red is indeed a bit significant, but the market’s probability always seems to be quite contrary to reality --- The situation that hasn’t appeared in five or six years has now occurred, so what does that mean --- Good days in the crypto world? Said the same last year, and what was the result

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CodeZeroBasis