#预测市场 Recently, I saw the "Best AI by the end of 2025" prediction market on Kalshi, and I just realized you can play like this? 🤔 Gemini's probability of winning has skyrocketed from 30% at the beginning of the year to 86%, while ChatGPT has dropped from 41% to 8%. This shift is so dramatic.

Trading volume has already reached $14.08 million, and it seems like many people are betting on this outcome. Honestly, when I first entered this space, I was a bit confused about the concept of "prediction markets." Later, I realized it's basically everyone voting with real money to forecast the outcome of certain events. Looking at these data changes now, I suddenly understand why people say the market's power is so strong — isn't this collective intelligence?

But I still can't quite figure it out. Is Gemini's sharp increase due to some new features recently released? Or are people collectively optimistic about Google's technological direction? Can anyone knowledgeable help me explain? What signals are usually behind the price movements in prediction markets? 😅