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#数字资产市场动态 3 Minutes to Understand: How to Turn Exchanges from Tools of Harvesting into Your Withdrawal Channels
Always crashing in front of market movements? Bullish on rises, bearish on dips? Actually, the problem isn't whether you predict accurately, but that you haven't truly understood the essence of trading.
I spent six years turning a 3000U principal into eight figures, with zero liquidation records—not because I can predict the market, but because I designed a replicable trading structure. Simply put, using probability theory and risk management to keep the initiative of wins and losses in my own hands.
**No prediction, only design—this is the first level of understanding**
When looking at $BTC, $ETH trends, don’t ask "Will it go up or down next?" Asking others or yourself this question is a waste of effort. The real question is: How do I design a trading plan that makes the probability and magnitude of profit favorable to me?
My approach is straightforward and brutal. Before entering each trade, the exit plan must be set. Place stop-loss and take-profit orders simultaneously, like installing a safety valve on the account. When profits reach 10%, withdraw half immediately—this is not greed, but respect for human nature. The remaining chips, I treat as free market giveaways, let them continue to run. This may seem conservative, but over six years, this method has reliably taken profits from the market over 30 times.
**Multi-timeframe resonance, precise targeting to make big money**
Many ask me how I enter trades. I never fixate on a single K-line timeframe. My approach is:
The daily chart tells me the big direction—bullish or bearish, a strategic choice. The 4-hour chart confirms trend strength—real breakout or false move. The 15-minute chart finds specific sniper points—firing here yields the highest success rate.
Combine two orders: each with strict stop-loss control within 1.5%, but take-profit targets at least 5 times the risk. During the 2022 LUNA rally, I was long and short simultaneously, making money on both sides, with the account increasing by 40% in a single day—this is the power of multi-timeframe resonance.
**With only a 38% win rate, why is the account still skyrocketing?**
This is the point I want to clarify most. My win rate isn't high—only 38%, but my risk-reward ratio is as high as 4.8:1. In other words: for every 1 dollar risked, I can earn back 4.8 dollars.
Under this logic, a high win rate isn't really necessary. When the market is against me, I immediately admit defeat and exit. Stop-loss isn't a loss—it's an entry ticket. Spend a little to buy the chance to exit; when the next opportunity comes, re-enter. As long as you're alive and the account remains, there's always a chance to bounce back.
**Three iron rules, none can be missing**
How to allocate funds? Divide the account into 10 parts, risking at most 1 part per trade. No matter how optimistic you are about a direction, don't put more than 3 parts into a single position—never exceed 3 parts total. Even if you hit several stop-losses in a row, your account still has enough bullets to continue trading.
How to maintain the mindset? After losing two trades in a row, immediately shut down. Go for a walk, watch videos—absolutely no revenge trades. Emotional trading is often the start of account drawdowns. Calmness is more important than anything.
How to lock in profits? Every time the account doubles, withdraw 20% to buy safe assets like US bonds or gold. It may sound conservative, but in a bear market, this is what truly allows you to sleep peacefully.
**Conclusion**
Exchanges don't fear your mistakes; the real risk is falling apart after a mistake. Master this logic thoroughly, and the exchange will obediently work for you.