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The results of the Federal Reserve's January meeting are highly anticipated. According to the latest market data, the probability of interest rates remaining unchanged this month has risen to 84.5%, which suggests that the rate hike cycle may truly be coming to an end.
For the crypto market, this is undoubtedly an important signal. Mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and BNB have long been highly sensitive to Federal Reserve policies—expectations of rate cuts often stimulate risk assets to rise, while expectations of rate hikes have the opposite effect.
More notably, new policy developments are worth paying attention to. The official announcement of the new Federal Reserve Chair is expected next week, and the policy stance of this new leader could influence market momentum for some time. Meanwhile, the market is also digesting the possible rate cut expectations for January, further reinforcing hopes for a dovish environment.
From a technical perspective, such divergence in expectations often triggers significant market volatility. Investors need to closely monitor policy announcements and data releases, as even a slight change can lead to notable shifts in crypto asset prices. Both BTC and BNB could present important trading opportunities during this cycle—either breaking upward or experiencing a pullback. The market is on the eve of a major move.