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The Fed's rate cut expectations have already been largely priced in this wave, and now it's about whether the implementation can avoid pitfalls. From the peak in October down to 80,000, I focused on how several top traders with strategies similar to mine are operating—some choose aggressive position increases, while others continue to hold cash and wait for confirmation signals.
The key points are these technical indicators: the 200-day moving average slope has turned positive for the first time in a month, and the 50-day and 200-day moving averages have already converged to confirm the trend, indicating that short-term momentum is indeed recovering. But don't rush to full positions; the 52-week high is the real test. My current strategy is divided into three risk levels for follow-along trading—aggressive traders I allocate 30%, stable traders 50%, and conservative traders only 10%, because there are still variables at this level.
If Powell suddenly signals a hawkish stance, this bullish pattern could reverse in minutes, so stop-loss settings must be in place. Practice has shown me that in such macro-anticipated markets, forced liquidation often proves more profitable than slow losses. Breaking through the 52-week high to add positions is not too late—let's wait and see for now.