2025-12-26 10:23:14

This year's gold market has been remarkably fierce. Since the beginning of the year, prices have surged nearly 70%, potentially marking the most explosive annual performance since 1979. Speaking of 1979, that year saw a 133% increase in gold prices for the entire year—what does that mean? In the modern history of precious metals, a single-year increase of over 70% is extremely rare. The last time we saw such a meteoric rise was in that ancient era.

But here’s the question: after the frenzy of 1979 peaked in early 1980, it was followed by decades of a long bear market. Will history repeat itself in a similar way this time? The cyclical fluctuations of precious metals often imply turning points in market sentiment and macroeconomic expectations. Whether the driving forces behind this round of gains can be sustained is probably a question every observer is pondering.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

12 Likes

Reward
12
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

ContractCollector

· 5h ago

A 70% increase is truly incredible, but to be honest, I'm more worried about the upcoming sharp decline... The lesson from 1980 is still there. Gold is highly cyclical; it rises so rapidly that a correction is inevitable, and when that happens, the ones who cut losses won't know who they are. It's safer to wait and see before entering the market now; the risk-reward ratio doesn't seem quite right. By the way, can this wave of gains be sustained? The macro environment isn't that optimistic. To sell or not to sell, that's the question...

View OriginalReply0

SandwichVictim

· 8h ago

A 70% increase sounds great, but everyone has heard the story of the 1980s cut in half. The question is, are you willing to go all in this time? Is history repeating itself? Bro, I’m betting it won’t, but I haven’t committed too much in my hands either. Gold is just emotional trading; macro shifts immediately lead to a bottom, and then we just lie flat and wait for the next bull market. Honestly, compared to chasing highs, I’m more concerned about when the real bottom will come.

View OriginalReply0

FortuneTeller42

· 8h ago

The story of 1979 sounds a bit scary, but this time it's different... probably. Is history repeating itself? Honestly, I'm a bit nervous. Gold has surged so strongly that it feels like something's bound to happen. A 70% increase is incredible, but what's next? Nobody can say for sure. There must be some support behind the crazy rise in gold—whether it's pure speculation or genuine demand. It feels like betting on macro cycles—if you get it right, it's awesome; if you get it wrong... never mind, don't think about it. Is this another round of a bear market cycle? My head is spinning.

View OriginalReply0

LiquidationOracle

· 8h ago

A 70% increase sounds crazy, but the real nightmare was the bear market after the peak in 1980... Will history really repeat itself? History often doesn't repeat exactly, but the similarities in rhythm and sentiment can be terrifying. The key is how long the macro environment can hold up. I've reviewed the story from 1979 to 1980 many times. Whether this wave is also a flash in the pan depends on the Federal Reserve's next moves. The precious metals cycle often hides crises behind explosive rises. Now it's time to ask yourself whether you're chasing highs or dollar-cost averaging. In simple terms, it's a psychological game. Whoever can grasp that peak moment wins. Compared to the 133% surge in that year, this round of gold frenzy is still a small case, but the depth of the bear market is the decisive factor.

View OriginalReply0

AlphaWhisperer

· 8h ago

Bro, your analysis this time really hit the nail on the head. The 70% increase sounds impressive, but I really don't have the confidence to continue We all know the story from 1979 to 1980. I can't figure out when the top will be now. Anyway, I don't dare to go all-in on gold I've heard a lot about the idea of historical cycles, but the key is when macro expectations will reverse. Who can predict that now? Gold, you know, when it rises, it's fierce; when it falls, it's even more painful. It all depends on how the Federal Reserve operates Instead of worrying about whether it will repeat, better to think about how to allocate your positions

View OriginalReply0

WalletDetective

· 9h ago

A 70% increase is indeed impressive, but it has fallen for decades since 1979... Could this be another trap this time? HODLers need to think about it.

View OriginalReply0

RealYieldWizard

· 9h ago

The surge in 1979 was truly outrageous, but now only gamblers dare to get on board. The probability of history repeating itself is indeed quite high; who can say this time won't be a misstep? This round of crazy gold rally feels like blowing bubbles—there's always a pop coming. A 70% increase sounds great, but the question is, do you dare to hold at the top? When macro expectations suddenly change, gold could collapse instantly—nothing new about that.

View OriginalReply0