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🔥The Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda makes a big move, causing a policy shift for the yen! Signals of rate hikes are flooding in, and the global markets are about to shake
Recently, Ueda's speech style has undergone a major change, showing a strongly hawkish stance. At the Economic Federation meeting, he candidly stated: "The 2% inflation target is getting closer, and the rate hike signals are already very tight." The phrase "Wages and prices are rising moderately, and the achievement of the target is steadily approaching" is meaningful. More importantly, Japanese companies' pricing strategies have completely changed, and the entire economy is shaking off the thirty-year "zero-growth curse."
This speech is widely regarded as his most significant one this year, with signals as clear as they can be— the story of rate hikes is far from over. Last week, interest rates rose to their highest level since 1995, but what is Ueda hinting at this time? As long as economic data remains stable, the next tightening policy is unavoidable. Market participants are calculating: when will the next rate hike come?
Interestingly, he explicitly stated that he will strongly stabilize the exchange rate this time, clearly aiming to avoid a repeat of last week's yen plunge. Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki also issued a stern warning to speculators, with intervention measures ready to be deployed at any time. Japan holds $1.3 trillion in foreign exchange reserves, but how long can this money last?
Prime Minister Sanae Sato is now overwhelmed by the cost of living crisis, with the Liberal Democratic Party suffering consecutive election defeats and public discontent mounting. She is calling on companies to raise wages to curb inflation. The problem is, if the yen depreciates further, inflation could worsen, and the central bank might be forced to act earlier.
Can Japan's economy truly break out of its predicament? This bold gamble to bid farewell to "zero growth" has entered its final critical stage, and every policy adjustment moving forward could trigger a chain reaction in the global financial markets.