#美国证券交易委员会推进数字资产监管框架创新 Leverage 10,000x to Refill the Position: The Abyss of Fantasy, Algorithms, and Human Nature



1. The Cold Math List
Want to turn 100U into 100 million? The numbers tell you the cost:
Double up 22 times in a row
= 100U × 2²² ≈ 100 million U

Even if your win rate is 60% (which is already optimistic)
The probability of hitting all 22 times in a row = 0.6²² ≈ 0.00007%
In other words—
Before reaching ten thousand times, you need to survive the 99.99% liquidation list

2. The Hidden Half of the Truth
The "ten thousand times contract story" you see on social media
Behind each one, there are thousands of accounts that have vanished without a trace

The true image of exchanges:
Contract traders' average lifespan ≤ 3 months
Those tutorials boasting "stop-loss point killing techniques"
Are useless in the face of extreme volatility
(The wave in March 2024, Bitcoin fluctuated ±15% within 2 hours, algorithms or what? Haha)

Quantitative institutions harvest your marked stop-loss levels in milliseconds
Your carefully designed "mature strategy"
Might just be prey bred within their models

3. Chain Reaction of Self-discipline Traps
Where does the so-called "fund management discipline" collapse?

First: The Black Swan arrives
Stop-loss becomes a decoration
Account goes directly to zero

Second: Psychological Decay
The thrill of turning 100U into 10,000U
Enough to drag you from 5x leverage to 50x
Greed is magic

Third: Market Evolution
Exchanges, market makers, AI machines are upgrading
While your strategy still uses last year's parameters

4. This Paradox Has No Solution
Chasing wealth freedom with high leverage

Using nitroglycerin to stabilize life
Theoretically feasible
But the tolerance for error is lower than your breathing rate

5. If you really want to wade through this muddy water
Listen to these unpalatable suggestions:

【First】Recognize Your Opponent
You are fighting an equal battle against AI algorithms, miners, professional market makers
There is no exaggeration in this statement

【Second】Redefine This Money
Contract trading fees = tuition, entertainment expenses
Don’t call it "investment"
A poor mindset skews your decisions significantly

【Third】Time Defense Line
Single trade no longer than 1 hour
Force exit at the designated time
Sitting for more than 2 hours watching the market, your mind starts to become unclear

【Fourth】Take Profit Ritual
Weekly profit reaches 50%? Transfer to cold wallet
This step is crucial—cut off the illusion of "keep gambling"

6. What Is the Real Answer
The "mathematical possibility" of ten thousand times contracts does exist
But in reality, it’s equivalent to:
Playing 22 rounds of Russian roulette
Loading 5 bullets each round
And hitting the only empty chamber every time

The shortcut to changing your fate has never been leverage multiples
But:
Using that 100U as tuition, recognizing you’re not cut out for contracts
Focusing on on-chain data analysis, airdrop hunting, community participation
Consistently investing in mainstream coins during every bull and be
BTC1.31%
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MentalWealthHarvestervip
· 10h ago
Honestly, smart contracts are just a probability slaughterhouse. With a 0.00007% chance of winning, I just want to know who the hell actually made a profit?
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MrDecodervip
· 15h ago
To be honest, this article really opened my eyes... That 0.00007% chance, I actually used to believe I was in that 0.01% haha
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TokenomicsShamanvip
· 12-15 13:41
It's the same old story again. Wake up, everyone. 99.99% of people won't even reach the 22nd time. I've seen too many dreamers have their accounts wiped out within three months. The market doesn't care how smart you are; it only cares about harvesting your luck.
View OriginalReply0
ExpectationFarmervip
· 12-15 13:35
Hmm, this article really hits home. 99.99% of people are just here to give away money. The guy I know made six times profit once, and he's still bragging to me now. I just laugh. Eventually, he'll lose it all.
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WagmiWarriorvip
· 12-15 13:32
Honestly, I was really scared after reading this. I had to read it three times to believe the 0.00007% probability... Some friends really should take a look at this, and stop telling me about any flipping stories.
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GreenCandleCollectorvip
· 12-15 13:31
There's a 0.00007% chance I actually believed it, until the moment of liquidation when I realized how foolish I was.
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GoldDiggerDuckvip
· 12-15 13:22
Really, after reading this article, I was directly overwhelmed... The liquidation I experienced last year is a real-life textbook warning example. Thinking about it now still makes me shiver.
View OriginalReply0
MetaverseLandlordvip
· 12-15 13:13
Honestly, the 99.99% liquidation rate makes my scalp tingle. There really aren't many people who can survive that list.
View OriginalReply0
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