2025-12-15 01:40:47

#美联储降息 Everyone, stop wasting money on those paid communities. Take a look at how the points performed this week. The rebound didn't quite hit the expected targets, which is quite frustrating. The key levels we identified on Friday actually responded; upon closer inspection:

$BTC Our target was 88600; yesterday's lowest was 88400, which rebounded 1000 points upward.
$SOL Target was 127.5; it was pushed down to 127.7 before rebounding.
$ETH Target was 3060; on Friday, it dropped to 3040 and then turned around to 3130.

But overall, the strength and magnitude of the rebound didn't meet our original expectations. The K-line on Monday and Tuesday didn't continue upward, indicating that our previous analysis of this week's rebound rhythm might have been off. The Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have changed, and short-term momentum may still need to be built up.

We must admit, this week's analysis approach indeed had flaws. Sorry to everyone about that. We'll continue to observe the daily charts to see if we can find new confirmation signals.

BTC-0.65%

SOL-3.21%

ETH-0.09%

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PanicSeller

· 23h ago

Oh well, at least someone finally dares to admit their mistake. It's not easy these days. Anyway, I saw it coming long ago. That wave on Monday couldn't hold up at all. Let's wait and see what happens next. The Federal Reserve's actions are indeed causing some chaos. Let's not be too optimistic in the short term.

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IfIWereOnChain

· 12-17 13:02

Hey, the levels are really stuck, and the rebound strength isn't enough. --- The K-lines on Monday and Tuesday are a bit annoying; the momentum is clearly lacking. --- Admitting mistakes is interesting; it's much better than those who never admit they are wrong. --- 88400, 127.7, 3040—these levels are indeed interesting, but the rebound can't continue. --- The Federal Reserve's hand has been a bit messy; we really need to observe in the short term. --- Our analysis has a flaw this time; let's keep monitoring next week. --- Upon closer inspection, there's nothing wrong, but the subsequent momentum can't be sustained, which is quite frustrating. --- When will the daily confirmation signals appear? I can't wait much longer.

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TrustlessMaximalist

· 12-16 03:08

To be honest, the timing is pretty accurate, but the rebound isn't as strong, which is a bit awkward. The analysis framework is fine, but there's too much uncertainty on the Federal Reserve's side. I don't believe anyone can precisely hit the timing. Let's accumulate first; it's much better than those who keep shouting every day.

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CryptoSurvivor

· 12-15 17:26

Damn, the points indeed hit the mark, but the rebound just doesn't have momentum. Honestly pointing out flaws in the analysis and just saying it directly, that's a decent attitude. Why is it always the Fed's fault? I think it's because the contract longs didn't defend the price. Wait, was the wave that pressed SOL down to 127.7 real? Feels like it wasn't that deep. Promised to accumulate energy, but be careful—it's probably just another scam to wipe out the retail investors. Actually, if it didn't continue upward on Monday and Tuesday, we should have seen the problem coming. This week is truly confusing; BTC really can't find a direction. But on the other hand, it's much better than those paid communities spouting nonsense. By the time the confirmation signals appear, the market will have already moved on.

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MEVHunterLucky

· 12-15 02:09

Haha, the rebound strength is indeed weak, but the entry points are still very accurate. --- Admitting mistakes is quite rare; let's keep watching the daily chart. --- Short-term accumulation of momentum? I feel like there's no signal. --- Points like 88400, 127.7, and 3040 are indeed precise, but the problem is that the rebound is gone afterward. --- The Fed's move really confused everyone, and expectations have completely changed. --- After watching the candlestick charts for a while, I still feel like there's no new opportunity. --- Paid communities are indeed a trap; your free analysis is just okay, haha. --- If it doesn't continue upward on Monday and Tuesday, you'll know the rhythm is off. Why didn't you say so earlier?

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LoneValidator

· 12-15 01:51

The points are quite accurate, but the rebound lacks momentum. That's the frustrating part.

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OnchainHolmes

· 12-15 01:51

Haha, the point levels are indeed quite tight, just a bit lacking in strength. Admitting mistakes is a good attitude, much better than some who refuse to acknowledge them. During the accumulation phase of momentum, now is probably just a patience-waiting stage. This wave seems to have quite a few uncertainties on the Federal Reserve side, so it's necessary to re-examine the short-term logic. While the details were precise, the overall picture was slightly off. There's still room for improvement.

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LuckyBlindCat

· 12-15 01:48

The point level indeed hit, but the rebound is weak. --- This wave is really a bit awkward, the prediction was indeed off. --- Admitting vulnerabilities is not easy, just keep watching. --- The Federal Reserve's move indeed disrupted the rhythm, who would have thought. --- How will the weekly line move next Sunday? Need to find the feeling again. --- The rebound strength was disappointing, the momentum still needs to be brewed. --- It didn't continue upward on Monday and Tuesday, that's the real issue. --- Although the point was hit, the magnitude was too far off, really. --- Still need to keep an eye on it, the signals aren't clear yet.

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EthSandwichHero

· 12-15 01:46

The point levels are indeed very precise, but the rebound is so weak it's a bit interesting. --- Oh, this week was really a letdown. I was planning to wait for the breakout, but it got stuck. --- I give five stars for admitting mistakes in analysis. Better than those stubborn people who refuse to admit errors. --- The Federal Reserve's move really disrupted the rhythm, making it hard to see clearly in the short term. --- The details were captured, but the overall strength wasn't enough, which is a bit awkward. --- Don't be too hard on yourself; rebounds are hard to predict anyway. Keep going. --- Looking back, the point levels this week were still effective, just lacking continuity. --- Let's wait and see the daily signals; opportunities will come. --- Compared to those deceptive communities, it's really more conscientious. --- The lack of strength indicates it's still brewing; don't rush.

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