This post expresses irony and skepticism about the phenomenon where many analysts only "jump out to say they have been bullish" after the Digital Money market 📈 rebounds.

Core View:
* Criticism of "hindsight wisdom": The author of the post (who claims to be "Yu Ge") believes that when the market is truly sluggish and full of uncertainty, those who dare to and persist in being **bullish** are the ones with true **foresight**. Now that the market has rebounded, many people come out to express their "hindsight wisdom", claiming they have always been optimistic, which lacks persuasiveness.
* Emphasizing one's consistent bullish stance: The author, under the name "Yu Ge", emphasizes that he has always maintained a bullish view during market downturns to prove that he is one of the few with foresight.
🧐 The "foresight" and "afterthought" in market analysis
In the highly volatile cryptocurrency market, the contrast between **"foresight" and "hindsight"** is a common and crucial theme.
* 🔮 Foresight: Refers to the ability to confidently predict that the future market will rise during extreme panic and widespread pessimism in a downturn (bear market or prolonged consolidation period), based on a deep understanding of underlying technology, macroeconomic cycles, or changes in market structure. This kind of prediction often comes with significant risks and contrarian thinking.
* 🔭 Hindsight: Refers to the behavior of claiming to have been "bullish" after the market has clearly risen (such as the recent recovery of the digital money market). The risk of such statements is zero, as the facts have proven their correctness. The post criticizes this kind of "after-the-fact insight" that lacks support from practical records.
The Stayers in a Bear Market
During the past market downturn, there were indeed some institutions and well-known analysts who gained attention for their continued bullish stance. They are regarded as examples of having "foresight," such as:
* Cathie Wood's ARK Invest: Even during the cryptocurrency winter, they continue to express their long-term belief in digital assets and blockchain technology, and are increasing their positions or continuing to invest in related companies.
* MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor: He continues to invest the company's reserves in Bitcoin even during the downturn in Bitcoin prices, advocating for its status as a digital asset for value storage.
These actions provide practical examples of adhering to faith during low periods, as advocated by 'Yu Ge'.
🤔 How to assess the reliability of an analyst?
In the face of various bullish voices emerging after the market rise, investors should pay attention to the following points to determine whether an analyst has true "foresight":
* Traceability of historical records: Verify whether specific bullish views were publicly expressed during market downturns or declines (such as the cryptocurrency winter of 2022), rather than vague long-term rhetoric.
* Logical basis of the viewpoint: Analyze whether its bullish reasons are based on solid logic (such as technological innovation, regulatory evolution, institutional adoption rate), rather than purely on emotion or **"shouting orders"**.
* Awareness of risks: True visionaries often acknowledge the short-term or medium-term risks and volatility, rather than merely shouting "get rich quick."
This post is a discussion on the boundaries between rational analysis and emotional venting in the Digital Money community, reminding readers to be wary of herd mentality and hindsight bias.
Do you want me to look for the public bullish records of a specific analyst during the last market downturn (for example, in 2022)?