#比特币波动性 The latest data from CME's Fed Watch Tool shows that the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in December is close to 70% (69.4%), but there is still a 30% chance of no action.

Looking ahead to January next year, market expectations begin to diverge: the probability of maintaining the current interest rate has dropped to 20.8%, with the call for a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points being the highest (56.9%), and there are even more than 20% betting on a rate cut of 50 basis points.

The uncertainty of this interest rate decision directly affects the trend of risk assets. $SOL and $ETH , such mainstream currencies, may continue to be pulled back and forth in macro expectations in the short term.

BTC1.42%

SOL1.51%

ETH-0.01%

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MetaverseLandlady

· 1h ago

It's another trap with this data game, a 69% probability just means it can still turn around. I have high hopes for that wave in January next year, the logic of a 56.9% interest rate cut holds up, it's normal for SOL and ETH to be pulled back and forth. Uncertainty is the most annoying, so let's just not look at the short-term trends. The Fed is really playing this hand excitingly.

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unrekt.eth

· 1h ago

A 69% probability is still not certain enough. It feels like the Fed is still wavering. --- It's the same macro expectations pulling the market again. I just want to ask when SOL can break out of this curse. --- A 50 basis point rate cut? Listen to these probabilities— the market really has no idea what to do right now. --- The real divergence won't start until January next year. It's still too early to place bets now. --- Interest rate uncertainty is the most annoying. Coins just fluctuate randomly along with it, and there's basically no main trend. --- The 30% probability of no change has been ignored, which shows the market isn't actually as optimistic as people imagine.

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MrRightClick