#美SEC促进加密创新监管体系 To be honest, this position is quite awkward right now. The middle band of the descending channel is pressing down, and each Rebound is getting weaker, clearly indicating that the long positions are retreating.

However, speaking of which, the range of 84000 to 84500 can still hold. If it can hold, there will be a technical rebound, and it is likely to reach around 86500-87500. But don't expect too much, as the structure of this wave is still relatively weak.

What really needs to be noted is the line at 83800—once it is broken, we will directly look at 82000 to 82500 below, and there may not even be a pause in between. Overall, the short-term strategy is still primarily defensive. $BTC $ETH

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tokenomics_truther

· 10h ago

If 84,500 can't hold, it'll go straight to 82. There really aren't any opportunities this time, so it's better to stay on the sidelines.

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PhantomHunter

· 10h ago

If the 84,500 level can't hold, there's really no doubt it'll drop straight down to 82. We definitely need to be cautious now. The bulls are really showing signs of fatigue this round, and the rebound is getting weaker and weaker. Feels like a trend reversal is coming. The SEC's regulatory framework sounds nice, but it doesn't seem to provide any real boost to the market. If 83,800 breaks, we'll just cut our losses. There's not much value in gambling at this level. Overall, it's better to wait for a rebound near 86 before making any moves. Going all-in now really isn't wise.

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EyeOfTheTokenStorm

· 10h ago

If the 84,500 support line can't hold, I think we need to reassess the entire cycle. Looking at historical data, this kind of consecutive breakdown usually means the macro structure has already changed. Watching the rebound get weaker each time is honestly exhausting. If it weren't for the hope at 86,500, I'd already want to go short. If 83,800 drops, then there really isn't any psychological support left. This time it really needs to hold. The bulls' momentum is clearly gone, and every rebound just looks like a dying struggle. It's definitely right to defend in the short term. This wave's structure is indeed weak; 82,000 is probably the real bottom, right? But it's too early to say now.

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PonziWhisperer

· 10h ago

If 84500 can't hold, it'll head straight to 82k—it wouldn't be surprising at all.

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gas_fee_therapist

· 11h ago

We really need to hold the key level at 84000. Otherwise, I wouldn't be surprised if it drops straight to 82000.

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CryptoNomics

· 11h ago

ngl, your resistance levels are statistically insignificant without examining the underlying order flow dynamics. that 84k support you're fixating on? the correlation matrix suggests it's more psychological than fundamentally sound. btw, did you factor in the cross-exchange liquidity distribution before drawing those channels? classic TA-only mistake.

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