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#美股2026展望 after-hours technical analysis shows that Bitcoin and Ethereum are both in a technically weak adjustment.
First, let's talk about Bitcoin - where's the problem now? After rebounding to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart, it has lost momentum. The three bands are widening, and this pattern usually indicates that the consolidation is not over yet. More importantly, the MACD is still below the zero line, and the bearish momentum has clearly not been fully released.
It becomes clearer when stretched to the daily level: After the MACD death cross, the green bars expanded all the way to 2527.09, and the RSI dropped to 32.6 with still some downward space. The price is currently running outside the lower Bollinger Band. After breaking the previous resistance level of 94,000-94,200, it has instead become a pressure point. Looking downward, both the 93,000 and 91,000-92,000 densely traded areas are unable to hold, and now it relies on the 90,000 level for support—this is more about short-term technical buying support. Once it breaks through, the range from 85,000 to 80,000 is likely to be tested. Conversely, if a rebound is desired, 98,000-99,000 is the first hurdle, and 100,460 is even tougher; currently, this level is hard to chew through.
The situation with Ethereum is similar. The 4-hour chart is also struggling near the lower band, with rebounds not even breaking short-term resistance, and the Bollinger Bands are also diverging outward. The daily technical indicators are even worse: the MACD is still diverging below the zero line after a death cross, and the RSI has dropped to 28.3 (although it hasn't reached the oversold extreme, it's close enough), and the key support at $3200 has now turned into resistance. The 3100 level looks quite weak now; if it breaks, the 2950-3000 range will probably be encountered. Want to move upwards? The wall at 3400-3450 is hard to climb over.
Here is a reference for short-term trading strategies:
Bitcoin shorting range: enter around 92600-93100
Target area: 89500-89000
Ethereum shorting range: layout near 3080-3100
Target range: 2980-2960 line
$ETH The technical indicators are indeed weak right now, but remember one thing — the market always moves faster than the indicators, and strict stop-losses are more important than predicting price fluctuations.