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The latest non-farm payroll employment data shows that the number of jobs is only 22,000, which not only falls short of the previous value but is also more than 50,000 below expectations. This data reflects the current weakness in the job market and suggests that a rate cut may be needed to stimulate the economy.
This result undoubtedly benefits gold and US stocks. However, considering the current economic situation, the likelihood of a significant interest rate cut of 50 basis points in September remains low. Even a small rate cut of 25 basis points may have very limited effects.
From the perspective of short-term market fluctuations, this may be a test for bearish investors. To seize opportunities in such a market, one needs to maintain patience and determination. Until gold prices break through $114 per ounce or the S&P 500 index surpasses 4550 points, it remains wise to maintain a bearish outlook for gold at $113 per ounce or the S&P 500 index at 4480 points.
The weak performance of current economic data has once again sparked speculation in the market regarding the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Investors need to closely monitor subsequent economic indicators and statements from Federal Reserve officials to more accurately assess future interest rate trends and their impact on various assets. At the same time, it is important to be wary of potential short-term fluctuations brought about by market sentiment and to implement effective risk management.