2月24日消息，比特币在市场“极度恐慌”情绪主导下持续承压，价格一度下探至62700美元附近，随后小幅反弹至63000美元上方，24小时跌幅约3%以上，加密市场整体同步走弱，数字资产总市值回落至约2.25万亿美元。与此同时，以太坊、XRP、Solana等主流资产均出现不同程度回调，显示风险偏好明显降温。
Presto Research 分析师 Min Jung 指出，此轮比特币跌破63000美元更多反映的是市场情绪恶化，而非单一基本面变化。宏观层面的关税不确定性与地缘政治风险升温，使资金转向避险配置，削弱了加密资产的短期需求弹性。恐惧与贪婪指数已降至5，处于历史极端悲观区间，表明市场情绪接近阶段性冰点。
从结构来看，去杠杆化仍是主导因素。近期多头清算规模扩大，未平仓合约显著下降，负资金费率持续存在，期货市场呈现明显看空倾向。Bitrue 研究主管 Andri Fauzan Adziima 表示，当前抛售更像是杠杆挤压而非全面投降，短期持有者受冲击较大，但链上数据显示长期持有者尚未出现大规模抛售，HODL指标仍显示部分资金在低位吸筹。
资金面同样偏弱，美国现货比特币ETF已连续第五周出现净流出，最新单日流出约2.03亿美元，以太坊ETF亦录得约5000万美元流出，反映机构资金观望情绪上升。
技术层面，60000美元至63000美元区间被视为关键支撑带。若价格稳守该区域，负资金费率可能触发空头回补并形成短期反弹；但一旦有效跌破60000美元，市场或进一步下探至50000美元中段，极端情境下甚至测试47000美元区间。分析人士强调，后续需重点关注ETF资金流向、宏观政策变化及市场情绪修复速度，以判断比特币是否进入更深度调整周期。
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