"New Year Rally" Coming in Bitcoin? Analyst Timothy Peterson Explains!

Cryptocurrency analyst Timothy Peterson predicted a potential “Santa Claus rally” for Bitcoin in a Twitter post, referring to three key indicators.

Peterson showed historical trends, market seasonality, and the performance of the US dollar as factors indicating a strong Bitcoin rally during the holiday season.

• Weakening Momentum of the Dollar: An analyst noted that the US Dollar Index (DXY) is approaching its highest level in the short term and there is an 85% probability of a reversal in a short period of time. Historically, a weakening dollar has an inverse relationship with Bitcoin, as decreasing global demand for USD generally pushes investors towards alternatives like cryptocurrencies. Peterson stated, “A weaker dollar is often associated with stronger Bitcoin performance.”
• Seasonal Resistance in Bitcoin: An analyst said that Bitcoin historically performs well in the last week of December. Data shows that Bitcoin tends to perform well from December 25th to January 2nd, with exceptions being rare and mild. Peterson also pointed out that since 2015, Bitcoin has risen in December in 100% of the times it has gained in November. According to this trend, Bitcoin could show an average performance of 10% in December and reach a price of $106,000 by the end of the year.
• Historical Examples of D****ng **** He suggested that Bitcoin is poised for a significant upward move, consistent with the “January effect,” where markets usually see renewed buying interest after the year-end tax loss.