美国3月新增就业17.8万个,美联储官员称低增长或成新常态但战争背景下脆弱

Gate News消息,4月4日,美联储观察人士Nick Timiraos撰文指出,美国3月新增就业17.8万个,扭转了此前2月的大幅下滑,失业率降至4.3%。但部分细节不太乐观,普通劳动者的工资增长放缓至疫情后复苏五年来最低的同比增速。将2月和3月两个波动较大的月份平均后,月均新增仅2.25万个岗位。两年前,每月新增2.25万个就业岗位就足以引发警惕;而如今,这样的水平或许仍被视为可以接受。美联储官员仍在努力解释这一变化。旧金山联储主席戴利周五写道:"要让公众理解零就业增长的经济仍与充分就业相符并非易事。"在新的供给冲击再度来袭的情况下,这种局面尤为脆弱。如果伊朗战争持续,高燃料成本或商品短缺挤压企业和消费者,劳动力市场将缺乏缓冲来吸收冲击。与此同时,由于通胀担忧可能削弱降息的确定性,美联储的政策空间也更加有限。

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