金价暴跌25%!Peter Schiff直指美联储失误,避险资产命运引发关注

BTC-2,48%

Gate News 消息,3 月 23 日,黄金价格从接近每盎司5600美元的高位暴跌约25%,跌破每盎司4200美元,市值蒸发超过10万亿美元,约为比特币(BTC)总市值的7.6倍。尽管美伊紧张局势持续、通胀攀升,这些通常利好贵金属,但金价仍大幅下挫,引发市场对抛售原因的激烈讨论。

资深黄金倡导者Peter Schiff称此次抛售毫无道理,认为交易员对美联储鹰派立场判断失误。他指出,实际利率下降历史上对黄金有利,而高利率可能将经济推入衰退,美联储最终将通过降息和量化宽松(QE)扭转局面。此外,财政部长 Scott Besent 已确认政府将通过举债而非增税为战争开支融资,持续膨胀的赤字和高企的10年期美国国债收益率可能引发比2008年更严重的金融风险。

分析师 Kyle Doops 认为,此次抛售在地缘政治风险依然高企的情况下异常。他指出,强制平仓、拥挤交易或政策预期收紧等因素无法完全解释金价大幅下挫。黄金期货保证金要求的提高及美元指数逼近100.50的高位,进一步加大了国际买家的抛售压力。白银价格同样受挤压,从历史高点下跌近50%,触及三个月低点每盎司61美元附近。

市场观察人士表示,此次暴跌可能是上涨后的仓位调整,而非黄金避险地位发生结构性改变。未来一周,投资者将密切关注宏观经济数据、通胀走势及美联储政策动向,以判断金价是否将迎来持续反弹,或仍面临深度调整压力。

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