区块链数据显示，一位此前已抛售11,000枚比特币的资深大佬又出售了650枚，另一位持有5,000枚比特币的早期采用者出售了全部1,000枚。此次抛售发生后，比特币价格下跌近1%，至约70,600美元，延续周三从74,500美元下跌3.5%的跌势。整体加密市场同样疲软，以太坊(ETH)、瑞波币(XRP)、Solana(SOL)和狗狗币(DOGE)均出现类似跌幅，CoinDesk 20 指数下跌3%至2,056点。

美联储维持基准利率在3.5%至3.75%不变，但暗示未来降息步伐将放缓，鹰派情绪通过利率“点阵图”表现明显。尽管近期劳动力市场略显疲软，但中值预测显示，今年仅可能降息一次，而主席鲍威尔的个人预测上调了利率预期。这一前景迫使投资者调整押注，放弃对快速降息周期的预期。

加密货币研究策略师 Matt Mena 指出，持续通胀和能源成本上涨增加了市场对利率长期偏高的担忧，推动老手投资者提前锁定利润。去中心化交易平台 Polymarket 与芝加哥商品交易所 (CME) 联邦基金期货定价显示，今年仅降息一次的概率约为80%，相比一个月前预测的降息两到三次概率大幅下降。

投资者需关注比特币关键支撑位及美联储货币政策动向，这将直接影响比特币、以太坊、狗狗币等主要加密资产的短期波动和市场风险偏好。(CoinDesk)

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