3月5日消息,随着市场整体复苏,以太坊(ETH)价格周四冲高至2192美元,创下近4周新高,较前一交易日上涨超过11%。分析指出,此轮上涨得益于比特币引领的更广泛市场反弹,以及美国与伊朗可能就结束军事对抗进行谈判的利好消息。
衍生品市场方面,高杠杆空头头寸遭遇空头挤压。CoinGlass数据显示,过去24小时内空头平仓总额超过1.33亿美元,而多头平仓仅为2150万美元。未平仓合约量飙升近15%,显示交易员重新活跃,加大建仓力度。现货以太坊ETF资金流入1.694亿美元,也表明机构投资者在市场复苏中扮演了关键角色。资金费率虽仍为负,但若继续转正,或意味着看涨情绪回归。
技术面上,以太坊日线图呈现双底形态,颈线位于2200美元心理阻力位。突破该关口可能推动价格升至2400美元,这一水平与38.2%斐波那契回撤位重合,是趋势反转的重要目标。同时,成功守住2400美元关口将使更大看跌旗形失效。MACD已形成金叉向上,Aroon Up指标达92.86%,明显强于看跌指标35.71%,显示多头已逐步掌控行情。
交易员目前关注2142美元(23.6%斐波回撤位)阻力位,以太坊价格接近该位置,仅低约1.1%。若市场延续复苏并突破2200美元,多头有望引爆下一波涨势,将目标锁定在2400美元,为潜在牛市反转奠定基础。
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