2月12日消息，2026年，Hedera（HBAR）正面临新一轮下行压力。受链上指标走弱与加密市场整体疲软影响，自1月初以来其价格持续回落。数据显示，HBAR 近期再跌约 5.66%，年内累计跌幅已超过 30%。作为市值排名前列的数字资产之一，其自去年7月高点以来的回撤幅度已接近 70%，长期趋势依旧承压。
链上基本面同样释放出谨慎信号。根据 DeFiLlama 数据，Hedera 网络的总锁定价值已从去年7月的 1.46 亿美元下降至约 5720 万美元，降幅显著。同时，网络内 dApp 的周度收入较去年10月中旬高点下滑近 70%。开发者活跃度和用户参与度的同步降温，削弱了生态对资金的吸引力，也对市场信心形成拖累。
机构层面亦缺乏支撑。美国现货 Hedera 相关基金的资金流入明显放缓，过去三周几乎无新增，仅在2月6日录得一次小规模流入。与仍保持较高关注度的 SOL、XRP 相关产品相比，HBAR 的机构需求显得偏弱。
从技术面看，HBAR 已跌破 0.10 美元的关键心理位，并持续受制于自去年10月形成的下降趋势线。超级趋势指标转为红色，MACD 位于零轴下方，动能偏空。若卖压延续，下一重要支撑位在 0.073 美元附近，较当前价格仍有约 20% 的下行空间。
在宏观不确定性与链上数据双重压力下，Hedera 短期走势仍以防守为主，市场正在等待新的基本面或资金催化因素出现。
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