$XRP #StripeConsidersAcquiringPayPalAssets



Here is a professional technical analysis breakdown.

1. The Macro View: 4-Hour Chart (Direction)

Primary Indicators: Bollinger Bands (BOLL), Parabolic SAR (SAR)

· Current Structure: The price is currently trading at $1.439**. It is attempting to recover from a low of **$1.378.
· Bollinger Band Analysis: The price is trading above the middle band (BOLL: $1.384)** but facing immediate resistance at the Upper Band (UB: **$1.469). The bands are relatively wide, indicating high volatility.
· Key Levels:
· Resistance: $1.495 (24h High / recent swing high).
· Support: $1.384 (Middle Bollinger Band / Value area).
· Directional Verdict: Bullish consolidation. Price broke above the middle band, suggesting momentum is shifting from bearish to bullish. However, it has not yet broken the recent high of $1.495. The Parabolic SAR is below price at **$1.405**, acting as dynamic support. The strategy is to look for buys unless price breaks back below $1.384.

2. Liquidity Zones: 1-Hour Chart (Highs & Lows)

· Market Structure:
· Immediate Resistance (High): The price is currently struggling against the $1.438 - $1.465 zone. The Upper Bollinger Band sits at $1.477.
· Liquidity Above: A clear sweep of the previous day's high is visible. The price spiked to **$1.521** (visible on the left side of this chart) and was rejected. This creates a **supply zone** between $1.49 and $1.52.
· Liquidity Below: The lower wicks on the recent candles indicate buying pressure. The Parabolic SAR is at $1.419, a level likely to act as a magnet or support.
· Liquidity Pools:
· High: $1.465 (Immediate resistance), $1.495 (Daily High), $1.521 (Swing High).
· Low: $1.419 (SAR Support), $1.395 (Recent Low).
· Analysis: The 1H chart shows price is range-bound after the massive spike. Price is currently testing the value area. A break above $1.438** with conviction could target the **$1.465 liquidity zone.

3. Structure Shift: 15-Minute Chart (Break of Structure / Change of Character)

· Tight Consolidation: The 15M chart reveals extremely tight consolidation. The Bollinger Bands are narrow:
· Upper Band: $1.454
· Middle Band: $1.443
· Lower Band: $1.432
· Structure Analysis:
· Current State: Indecision. The price is coiling tightly.
· Bullish Break of Structure (BOS): A 15-minute candle close above $1.454** (UB) would indicate a shift from consolidation to momentum, likely targeting the **$1.465 - $1.469 area.
· Bearish Change of Character (CHoCH): A break below $1.432** (LB) with momentum would invalidate the immediate bullish bias, likely sending price to retest **$1.419 (SAR on 1H) or $1.395.
· Verdict: The market is squeezing. The moment it breaks the Bollinger Band boundary, expect volatility to expand in that direction.

4. The Execution: 5-Minute Chart (Trade Plan)

Source: Screenshot_20260226-162930
Timestamp noted: 16:05 (Latest data point)

· Current Micro-Price: Trading at $1.439, hugging the middle of the range.
· The Setup: We are looking for the breakout of the 15-minute consolidation range identified above.

Trade Scenarios:

Scenario A: The Long Play (Continuation)

· Trigger: Price breaks and holds above $1.445** (SAR resistance turned support) with a strong bullish 5M candle. Confirmation is a break of the 15M high at **$1.454.
· Entry: $1.446 - $1.448 (on the retest of the broken level).
· Target (TP):
· TP1: $1.453 (Recent Structure High).
· TP2: $1.461 (Chart High/Previous Day Close).
· TP3: $1.469 (4H Upper Bollinger Band).
· Stop Loss (SL): Below the recent swing low on the 5M, around $1.436.

Scenario B: The Short Play (Rejection/Fakeout)

· Trigger: Price fails to hold above $1.445** and breaks below the 15M Low of **$1.432.
· Entry: $1.430 - $1.428 (on retest from below).
· Target (TP):
· TP1: $1.422 (Targeting the 1H SAR).
· TP2: $1.418 (Full extension).
· Stop Loss (SL): Above the breakdown candle high, roughly $1.438.

Professional Summary

Context: 4H is Bullish. 1H is Ranging. 15M is Squeezing.
Plan: Patience. Wait for the 15M Bollinger Band break.
Bias: Slightly bullish as long as price holds above $1.438**. A move above **$1.445 on the 5M chart signals the start of the next leg up towards the $1.46 handle.
XRP-4.9%
post-image
post-image
post-image
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
No comments
  • Pin

Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
English
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)