Can Pi Coin reach $1? Four major AI predictions are out: only a 10% chance

Pi coin is currently at $0.21, and we asked four AI models whether it can reach $1 in Q1. ChatGPT states “Highly unlikely,” with only a 10-15% probability. Grok points out that a 5x increase is needed, with 1.2 billion tokens unlocking as a resistance. Perplexity and Gemini are more optimistic, believing that if Binance lists it along with updates, it might reach the target, but more likely mid-year.

ChatGPT and Grok’s Pessimistic Arguments

ChatGPT is quite pessimistic, believing that Pi coin, trading around $0.21, is unlikely to surge to $1 in the first quarter. The company notes that the asset would need to achieve triple-digit gains in a very short period, which is unlikely without “strong endogenous demand.” The chatbot claims that Pi’s liquidity remains weak, and there are no decisive catalysts in the near term to trigger explosive price growth. It states that the probability of reaching the $1 psychological threshold before early April is only 10-15%, with the most probable range being $0.30-$0.50.

The built-in chatbot Grok on social media platform X also offers a similar forecast: “Reaching $1 in Q1 requires a roughly 5x increase from current levels in a very short time, pushing market cap over $8 billion. Although the crypto market is highly volatile, current data and forecasts do not support this.”

Grok points out that Pi’s limited practical value, low trading volume, and upcoming token unlocks are main obstacles to a decisive breakthrough in its price. It is estimated that over 1.2 billion Pi tokens will be released this year, potentially increasing selling pressure. Data shows that about 131.7 million Pi will be released within the next 30 days alone. While this sounds like a large amount, it is much more significant compared to previous months’ unlocks.

Four Major Barriers Listed by ChatGPT and Grok

Weak Liquidity: Low trading volume, large buy orders may cause slippage, making it difficult for institutions to build large positions

Lack of Catalysts: No major technical updates, no news of listing on mainstream exchanges, no breakthrough in practical applications

Token Unlock Pressure: 1.2 billion tokens released this year, 131.7 million unlocked within 30 days, huge selling pressure

Insufficient Utility: Pi Network ecosystem has limited use cases; holding is mainly for speculation

Perplexity and Gemini’s Conditional Optimism

Perplexity and Google’s Gemini are more optimistic. The former claims that if Pi tokens are listed on mainstream exchanges and the Pi Network team releases a major update aimed at advancing the entire ecosystem, then Pi’s price could rise to $1 in Q1. Binance is such a platform. Last year, there were rumors that Binance might support PI, and its team even held a community poll to gauge user sentiment. Although over 85% of participants voted in favor of PI, it is still not listed on the exchange.

Gemini also claims that support from giants like Binance could push Pi’s price to $1. However, they believe this scenario is more likely to happen later this year rather than in Q1. Listing on Binance would be a major catalyst for any crypto asset, as Binance has the largest user base and trading volume globally. Once listed, liquidity would improve significantly, and price discovery would be more efficient.

However, Binance listing is not something Pi Network can unilaterally decide. Binance has strict review standards for listing projects, including technical reliability, legal compliance, community activity, and actual utility. Although Pi Network claims a large user base (over 50 million), most users have not completed KYC verification, and the mainnet migration is slow—these are factors Binance considers.

Besides Binance listing, the “major update” mentioned by Perplexity is also crucial. Pi Network needs to demonstrate real use cases, such as payment integrations, DApp ecosystem expansion, or enterprise collaborations. If it’s only technical upgrades or community activities, that may not be enough to push the price up 5x.

Pi’s Reality: $0.30-$0.50 More Likely

Combining the forecasts from four AI models, the probability of Pi reaching $1 in Q1 2026 is extremely low; ChatGPT’s 10-15% estimate is the most optimistic. A more realistic price range is $0.30-$0.50, representing a 40-140% increase from current levels. While this target is less exciting than $1, it is more feasible given the current market environment.

In recent days, many mainstream cryptocurrencies have seen steady gains, and the market has started the year well. Pi Network’s PI has also risen accordingly, though modestly. This “follow the market up, not down” characteristic indicates Pi still has some market attention but lacks independent upward momentum.

For Pi investors, the key is to lower expectations and set reasonable goals. Instead of expecting a $1 price in Q1, focus on Binance listing progress, token unlock schedules, and actual application breakthroughs within the Pi Network ecosystem. If these fundamentals improve positively, $0.30-$0.50 is a reasonable short-term target, while $1 might be delayed until Q3 or Q4.