In the current crypto assets market, two viewpoints have sparked widespread controversy: one is that Spot should not be held for the long term, and the other is that in this bull run, alts may only have a rise of 2-3 times. Although these viewpoints have faced considerable skepticism, a careful analysis of market trends reveals their rationality.

First, let's review the historical trend of Bitcoin (BTC). The peak of the bull run in 2017 was around $19,000, followed by a drop to $3,000. A new bull run began in 2020, reaching a peak of $69,000 in 2021. From the bear market bottom of $3,000, the rise exceeded 20 times; while from the previous peak of $19,000, the rise was about 3.6 times.

For the current market trend, assuming 15,000 dollars as the bear market low, the generally expected bull run high is between 130,000 and 150,000 dollars. This means there could be about a 10-fold rise from the bear market bottom, and when calculated from the previous high of 69,000 dollars, there is an increase of about more than 2 times.

This trend also applies to altcoins. In the 2017 bull run, hundredfold coins were everywhere, and tenfold coins were numerous. By the 2021 bull run, hundredfold coins became relatively rare, while tenfold coins were still quite common. Therefore, in the upcoming bull run, it is a reasonable expectation for quality altcoins to reach a tenfold rise, while ordinary altcoins rising 2-3 times is more realistic.

For cryptocurrency investors, it is crucial to abandon the fantasy of getting rich overnight and accept the reality of the market. Those who are new to the crypto space often believe they are genius traders, but the reality is often harsh. As someone said: 'Before entering the space, everyone says making money in crypto is as easy as drinking water; little did I know, losing money is as natural as breathing.'

In a bull run, the most lethal factor is often not knowing when to sell, or being misled by the rhetoric of an 'eternal bull market' when Bitcoin peaks. Therefore, for Spot investments, it is not advisable to hold indefinitely; for alts, a 2-3 times rise is already a good profit-taking target.

Overall, in this rapidly changing market, maintaining rationality, setting reasonable profit targets, and adjusting strategies in a timely manner are the wise ways to invest.