周四,加密货币全市场延续回调走势,比特币跌至 9 万美元附近,回吐了周二反弹的大部分涨幅。尽管美联储如期降息并重启国债购买计划,但市场风险偏好未能持续,主要加密资产普遍承压。
比特币最新交易价格约 90,250 美元,24 小时下跌 2.4%。以太坊跌 3.4% 至 3,208 美元,Solana 下跌 5.8%,狗狗币回调 5.5%。行情数据显示,多数大型代币七日收益率转负,XRP 下跌 8.6%,Cardano 下跌 7.2%,BNB 下跌 5.9%。
周二,比特币一度触及 94,500 美元并触发小幅空头挤压,但未能突破持续三周形成的关键阻力区,随后迅速回落。当前价格重新落入过去一个月的震荡区间,市场深度偏弱,清算集中区仍在影响短线波动。
衍生品市场成为本轮下跌的主要推手。CoinGlass 数据显示,过去 24 小时有 5.14 亿美元头寸被清算,其中多头清算高达 3.76 亿美元,是空头的近三倍。比特币跌破短期趋势线后触发了连锁式平仓,加剧了波动。
FxPro 分析师 Alex Kuptsikevich 指出,比特币自 11 月下旬以来确实形成更高的高点和低点,但若要确立真正意义上的市值上升趋势,总市值必须突破 3.32 万亿美元。目前,加密货币整体市值约 3.16 万亿美元,仍低于周二触及的 3.21 万亿美元高位。
宏观层面并未提供持续支撑。尽管美联储再度降息,但决策者预计未来降息步伐将放缓,凸显政策分歧。QCP Capital 此前也提醒称,由于流动性偏低与持仓失衡,预计比特币将在 8.4 万至 10 万美元区间震荡至年底。彭博策略师 Mike McGlone 甚至警告,所谓“圣诞行情”可能落空,比特币年底或再度跌破 8.4 万美元。
短期内,市场关注比特币能否守稳 9 万至 9.1 万美元区域。若跌破,该区间底部将面临考验;若企稳,则可能为重新冲击 94,000 美元关键阻力奠定基础。(CoinDesk)
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