Today is March 18th, welcoming this week's most critical macro event — the Federal Reserve's FOMC interest rate decision meeting. The market is generally running strong ahead of the news release.

Today's Key Macro Event: Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting
Meeting Time: March 18th (Today) 14:00 ET (Beijing time March 19th 02:00) Policy statement release, 14:30 ET Powell holds press conference

Bitcoin (BTC) Intraday Analysis
Bitcoin continued its strong momentum yesterday, currently holding firmly above 74,000 USD, with technical structure showing a bullish alignment.
· Key Levels:
· Current Price: Trading around 74500
· Resistance Above: Short-term resistance at 76000, if volume breaks through, next target above 78000
· Support Below: Primary support at 72600, strong support at 71000
· Operating Strategy:
· Before Event: Before FOMC results release, recommended to control position size, avoid heavy betting
· Range Trading: Conservative traders can sell high and buy low within 72600-76500 range, with strict stop-loss
· Breakout Trading: If price breaks above 76000 with volume, can build small longs targeting 78000. If breaks below 72600, temporarily stay on sidelines awaiting stabilization signal around 71000
· Aggressive Strategy: Can go long around 73500, target 75500

Ethereum (ETH) Intraday Analysis
Ethereum showing even stronger performance.
· Key Levels:
· Current Price: Trading around 2300-2360
· Resistance Above: Short-term resistance at 2380, next resistance at 2575
· Support Below: Primary support at 2220, strong support at 2138, deeper support at 2050
· Operating Strategy:
· Key Breakout Trading: If price holds above 2380, can chase longs, target 2450, stop-loss below 2325
· Aggressive Strategy: Can go long around 2300, target 2400, stop-loss at 2050

Today's Risk Warning
1. FOMC Meeting Result Uncertainty: Powell's press conference wording will guide market repricing of interest rate path, short-term volatility extremely high. Historical data shows 7 out of 8 FOMC meetings in 2025 saw bitcoin decline post-meeting, similar post-meeting decline also occurred in January 2026.
2. "Stagflation" Dilemma: Federal Reserve facing dual mandate conflict — weak employment needs loose support, rising inflation requires tight response. February non-farm employment unexpectedly decreased by 92,000, while January inflation indicators rebounded, compounded by surging oil prices.
3. Institutional Divergence: Citi downgraded long-term expectations, but spot ETFs show consecutive net inflows. Fear & Greed Index on March 17th reported 28 (Fear), but market sentiment is recovering.