XRP Falls Below 3-Day Gaussian Channel: 778-Day Bearish Pattern Returns

⬤ XRP just broke below its 3-day Gaussian Channel, repeating a pattern that’s shown up at major turning points throughout its history. Every single time XRP has fallen through this channel before, it’s kicked off months of falling or flat prices. The chart lays out four previous breakdowns from 2014, 2016, 2019, and 2022—and they all tell the same story.

⬤ The numbers are pretty stark. After the 2019 breakdown, XRP spent roughly 778 days going nowhere, stuck in a consolidation grind. The 2022 breakdown wasn’t much better, leading to about 446 days of sideways action. Even earlier cycles from 2014 and 2016 showed the same thing: once XRP loses the channel, it stays down for a while.

Every previous breakdown below this channel was followed by significant downside and an extended period of bearish or sideways price action.

⬤ This time around, XRP pushed higher into early 2025 before running out of steam and slipping back under the channel. Price dropped below the green bands after failing to hold its rally, matching the structure we’ve seen in past cycles. These breakdowns haven’t been quick dips—they’ve marked the end of bullish runs and the start of long corrective stretches.

⬤ For the wider crypto market, this matters because XRP has followed these long-term technical patterns across multiple cycles. When it breaks the 3-day Gaussian Channel, extended cooling periods tend to follow. With history repeating itself again, this breakdown shows how reliable certain technical signals can be for spotting major trend shifts in large-cap altcoins.